| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 20:6 | +14 | 23 | |
| 2 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | +3 | 18 | |
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:6 | +9 | 17 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | +7 | 17 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:9 | +8 | 15 | |
| 6 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 18:10 | +8 | 14 | |
| 7 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | +1 | 13 | |
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 | |
| 10 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6:12 | -6 | 7 | |
| 11 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8:25 | -17 | 3 | |
| 12 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5:28 | -23 | 0 |
This Cardoso Moreira RJ vs Friburguense RJ prediction covers the Campeonato Carioca. Serie B2 match on Oct 26 at 18:00. Based on odds, league table and recent form, Friburguense RJ are the favorite with a 55% win probability; Cardoso Moreira RJ have 20% and the draw is 25%.
Cardoso Moreira RJ have been inconsistent, with a recent results sequence of D, W, D, L, L. In that run they drew 0-0 against Campos RJ, beat SE Paraty RJ 6-1, drew 0-0 against Barra Mansa RJ, lost 2-3 to Serra Macaense FC RJ and lost 0-1 to Santa Cruz FC RJ.
Friburguense RJ arrive in much stronger shape with five straight wins: W, W, W, W, W. Those results were 5-0 against Rio de Janeiro RJ, 3-2 against SE Buzios RJ, 1-0 against Paduano RJ, 2-1 against 7 De Abril RJ and 2-0 against Campos RJ.
The head-to-head record in the data shows 0 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. That means there are no recorded previous meetings between Cardoso Moreira RJ and Friburguense RJ, so current form and table positions carry more weight in this prediction.
Friburguense RJ lead the Campeonato Carioca. Serie B2 table with 23 points from 9 matches. Their overall record is 7 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 20 goals scored and 6 conceded. Cardoso Moreira RJ sit 3rd with 17 points from 9 matches, with 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, scoring 15 and conceding 6.
The gap between the teams is 6 points. Cardoso Moreira RJ are 3rd in the home table with 9 points from 4 home games, while Friburguense RJ are 1st in the away table with 12 points from 4 away wins and no draws or defeats.
The probability calculation starts from the bookmaker odds and then adjusts for recent form and league positions. The normalized odds base gives Friburguense RJ around 39%, the draw about 34% and Cardoso Moreira RJ about 27%. After weighting Friburguense's five-match winning streak, perfect away record and six-point lead, the model shifts to: Cardoso Moreira RJ 20%, draw 25%, Friburguense RJ 55%.
Cardoso Moreira RJ has a 20% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Friburguense RJ has a 55% chance. The conclusion is that Friburguense RJ are the more likely winner, despite playing away from home.
The available oneXTwo odds show Friburguense RJ as the main favorite in most lines. Bookmakers list several price sets: 3.60/2.15/2.60, 3.25/2.25/2.50, 3.00/3.25/2.08 and 3.25/3.25/2.00. The shortest price for Friburguense RJ is 2.00, while Cardoso Moreira RJ are backed at up to 3.60.
Based on the stats, the final Cardoso Moreira RJ vs Friburguense RJ prediction is an away win for Friburguense RJ. The draw is the next most probable outcome, and the key betting tip is the away win with the draw as a secondary option.