Yate Town - Frome Town prediction 3 October 2026
Yate Town
Frome TownYate Town
SholingMalvern TownYate TownYate TownBerkhamstedYate TownFrome TownWimborne TownYate TownChippenham TownYate TownYate TownChippenham TownHanworth VillaYate TownYate TownTaunton TownPoole TownYate TownYate TownBracknell TownChertsey TownYate TownChippenham TownYate TownYate TownGosport BoroughLeamingtonYate TownBath CityFrome TownFrome TownGloucester CityMalvern TownFrome TownChippenham TownFrome TownFrome TownSholingYate TownFrome TownFrome TownTaunton TownPlymouth ParkwayFrome TownFrome TownHanwell TownFrome TownBath CityChertsey TownFrome TownFrome TownGosport BoroughHavant & WaterloovilleFrome TownEvesham UnitedFrome TownFrome TownWimborne TownYate TownFrome TownFrome TownYate Town| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Poole Town | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 22:13 | +9 | 27 |
| 2 |  Uxbridge | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23:8 | +15 | 26 |
| 3 |  Bath City | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:10 | +9 | 26 |
| 4 |  Hanworth Villa | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:15 | +10 | 24 |
| 5 |  Plymouth Parkway | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 26:14 | +12 | 23 |
| 6 |  Chichester City | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 23:21 | +2 | 22 |
| 7 |  Taunton Town | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 32:25 | +7 | 19 |
| 8 |  Chertsey Town | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 25:18 | +7 | 19 |
| 9 | Frome Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | +4 | 19 |
| 10 |  Wimborne Town | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:9 | +11 | 18 |
| 11 |  Gosport Borough | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | +2 | 18 |
| 12 |  Berkhamsted | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 16 |
| 13 |  Basingstoke Town | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 21:25 | -4 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bracknell Town | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:27 | -14 | 14 |
| 15 | Yate Town | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:25 | -9 | 13 |
| 16 |  Evesham United | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 15:26 | -11 | 13 |
| 17 |  Sholing | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 12 |
| 18 |  Hanwell Town | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 19 |  Malvern Town | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 19:34 | -15 | 11 |
| 20 |  Gloucester City | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 10 |
| 21 |  Havant & Waterlooville | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 18:26 | -8 | 9 |
| 22 |  Chippenham Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:25 | -14 | 9 |
Yate Town vs Frome Town Prediction (Oct 3)
The Yate Town vs Frome Town prediction for the Southern League Premier Division clash on October 3, 2026, points to an away win. Based on the latest odds, form, and league standings, Frome Town has a 45% chance of winning, while Yate Town sits at 30% and the draw at 25%.
Team Form
Yate Town's recent form has been inconsistent. In their last five matches, they recorded one win, two draws, and two losses (L, D, D, W, L). They suffered a heavy 4-0 defeat at Wimborne Town on September 29, followed by back-to-back 1-1 and 0-0 draws against Chippenham Town in the FA Cup. A 3-2 victory at Hanworth Villa on September 12 offered some relief, but a 1-4 home loss to Taunton Town on August 31 highlighted defensive frailties.
Frome Town's last five results show two wins, one draw, and two losses (L, D, W, W, L). They lost 2-0 at Plymouth Parkway on September 22, drew 2-2 at home to Hanwell Town on September 12, then beat Bath City 1-0 at home and Chertsey Town 2-1 away. A 1-2 home defeat to Gosport Borough on August 22 rounded off the sequence. The away side has shown more consistency, especially on the road.
Head-to-Head Record
These teams have met only once in recent history, a Friendly Clubs match on July 24, 2021. Frome Town won that encounter 1-0 at home. The limited head-to-head data gives a slight psychological edge to the visitors.
League Table Positions
In the Southern League Premier Division standings, Frome Town occupies 6th place with 13 points from 8 matches (4 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses; goals 12:8). Yate Town is 12th with 11 points from 7 games (3 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses; goals 10:11). Frome's superior goal difference and higher position underline their stronger campaign so far.
Win Probability: Yate Town or Frome Town?
After normalizing the bookmaker odds (home 2.75, draw 3.50, away 2.15) to remove the margin, the raw implied probabilities were 32.6% for a Yate Town win, 25.6% for a draw, and 41.7% for a Frome Town win. Adjusting for recent form, the head-to-head result, and league positions, we calculate the final win probabilities as:
- Yate Town win: 30%
- Draw: 25%
- Frome Town win: 45%
Frome Town is the more likely winner, with a 15% higher chance than the home side. Yate Town's leaky defense and Frome's solid away record tip the balance.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers have priced the match with Yate Town at 2.75, the draw at 3.50, and Frome Town at 2.15. These odds reflect Frome Town as the clear favorite. Based on the stats, form, and H2H record, the best prediction is an away win for Frome Town. However, Yate Town's home advantage could make it a tight contest, so a low-scoring affair is plausible.
Yate Town vs Frome Town โ FAQ
- Who will win Yate Town vs Frome Town?
- Frome Town is the favorite with a 45% win probability. Yate Town has a 30% chance, and the draw stands at 25%. This assessment is based on odds, recent form, and league positions.
- What is the win probability for Frome Town?
- Frome Town has a 45% chance of winning. This figure comes from adjusted bookmaker odds (raw implied 41.7%) and is boosted by their better form, higher league standing, and the only previous H2H win.
- When is the Yate Town vs Frome Town match?
- The match is on October 3, 2026, at 15:00 local time. It is a Southern League Premier Division fixture in England.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The 1X2 odds are: Yate Town 2.75, Draw 3.50, Frome Town 2.15. These odds make Frome Town the bookmakers' favorite.