Frydek-Mistek - Vrchovina prediction 3 October 2026

The Frydek-Mistek vs Vrchovina prediction for the 3 Liga match on Oct 3, 2026, points to a home win. Based on the latest form, head-to-head record, and odds, Frydek-Mistek has a 52% chance of winning, while Vrchovina sits at 20% and the draw at 28%.

Team Form

Frydek-Mistek's recent form (W, D, W, D, L) shows two wins, two draws, and one defeat in their last five matches. They beat CSK Uhersky Brod 3-1 and MFK Karvina B 3-0, drew 0-0 with Havirov and 1-1 with Unicov, and lost 1-0 to Polanka.

Vrchovina's last five matches (L, L, L, D, W) include three losses, one draw, and one win. They lost to Zbrojovka Brno B 0-3, Hranice 1-0, and Slovacko B 3-1, drew 2-2 with Vsetin, and beat TJ Unie Hlubina 3-2.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Frydek-Mistek: 6 wins, 3 draws, and only 1 win for Vrchovina in their last 10 meetings. The most recent encounter on Apr 11, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw. Previous home matches for Frydek-Mistek include a 3-1 win in August 2022 and a 1-0 victory in May 2022.

Win Probability: Frydek-Mistek or Vrchovina?

After analyzing the odds, form, and H2H, we calculate the following win probabilities: Frydek-Mistek win: 52%, Draw: 28%, Vrchovina win: 20%. Bookmakers' odds (home 2.00, draw 2.25, away 5.15) imply a 44% chance for a home win, 39% for a draw, and 17% for an away win. However, Frydek-Mistek's superior H2H record (6-3-1) and better recent form (2W,2D,1L vs 1W,1D,3L) push their chances higher. Playing at Stadion Stovky also gives them a home advantage. The conclusion is clear: Frydek-Mistek is the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Frydek-Mistek as the favorite, with odds around 2.00 for a home win. The draw is priced at 2.25, and an away win for Vrchovina at 5.15. Based on the stats, our Frydek-Mistek vs Vrchovina prediction is a home win, but a draw is also a strong possibility given the recent head-to-head draw and the home team's two draws in their last five outings.