Fulham - Hull City prediction 17 October 2026

The Fulham vs Hull City prediction points to a home win at Craven Cottage on October 17, 2026. This Premier League clash kicks off at 15:00, and based on our analysis, Fulham has a 58% chance of taking all three points, with the draw at 24% and Hull City at 18%. Bookmakers clearly agree, pricing a Fulham victory at odds as short as 1.73.

Team Form

Fulham come into this match with a mixed run of results – their last five outings produced one win, two draws, and two defeats. A 3‑2 League Cup victory at West Ham was the highlight, while recent home losses to Ipswich Town (1‑2) and Crystal Palace (2‑3) underline defensive concerns.

Hull City’s form pattern is virtually identical. They’ve also collected five points from the last five games: a single win at Coventry (1‑0), two goalless draws, and defeats to Newcastle United and Sunderland in the cup. Neither side has found real momentum, which makes the head‑to‑head and home advantage decisive factors.

Head‑to‑Head Record

History strongly favours Fulham. In 14 meetings across all competitions, Fulham have won 9, Hull City 3, with 2 draws. The most recent encounter ended 2‑0 to Fulham in the FA Cup (January 2023). Across the last five H2H fixtures, Fulham won four, keeping a clean sheet in three of them. This dominance at both Craven Cottage and on the road is a key reason why Fulham are tipped as favourites.

League Table Positions

In the available Premier League standings snapshot, Hull City sit 10th with 8 points from 5 matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss; goals 6‑4). Fulham’s exact position is not listed in the provided data, but with similar recent form they are likely placed in the mid‑table region. Hull’s away record (W1 D1 L1, 4 goals scored) suggests they can be competitive on the road, though they have struggled against top‑half opposition.

Win Probability: Fulham or Hull City?

Calculating true outcome chances from the pre‑match 1X2 odds (home 1.73, draw 4.00, away 5.00) and adjusting for form, H2H record, and home advantage, we arrive at the following probabilities:

• Fulham win: 58%
• Draw: 24%
• Hull City win: 18%

Fulham’s dominant head‑to‑head edge (9 wins in 14 games) and the benefit of playing at Craven Cottage tilt the numbers in their favour. While both teams are inconsistent, the historical mismatch is too big to ignore. Therefore, Fulham are the most likely winners, but the draw remains a real possibility given both sides’ tendency to share points recently.

Odds & Match Prediction

The pre‑match betting market firmly backs Fulham. Available odds from multiple bookmakers show a home win around 1.73, the draw at 4.00, and an away Hull City victory at 5.00. This pricing aligns with our win probability model. Based on the stats, Fulham should be able to control the game, but a lack of ruthless finishing could keep the contest tighter than expected. Our prediction: Fulham to win, most likely by a one‑goal margin, and the Under 2.5 goals market may also attract interest given the recent low‑scoring patterns of both teams.