Fylkir - HK Kopavogur prediction 13 September 2026

The HK Kopavogur vs Fylkir prediction for the 1st Division match on September 9, 2026 at 19:15 points to a home win. Based on the stats, HK Kopavogur has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Fylkir has a 30% chance. The probability is heavily influenced by HK Kopavogur’s perfect home record in the league.

Team Form

HK Kopavogur have been solid, with three wins, one draw and one loss in their last five matches. Their most recent result was a 2-1 home victory over Fylkir on September 5, 2026. Before that, they lost 4-3 away to UMF Grindavik, beat Throttur Reykjavik 3-0 at home, drew 2-2 with Afturelding away, and beat Leiknir Reykjavik 2-1 at home. The team has scored 12 goals in these five games and shows a strong home form trend.

Fylkir’s last five matches produced two wins, one draw and two losses. They lost 2-1 away to HK Kopavogur, beat Grotta 3-1 at home, thrashed UMF Grindavik 6-1 at home, lost 3-1 away to Throttur Reykjavik, and drew 3-3 with Afturelding at home. Away from home, Fylkir have been inconsistent, with two losses in their last two road trips.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record shows HK Kopavogur leading with 8 wins, 5 wins for Fylkir, and 3 draws. In the last five meetings, both teams have won twice and drawn once. The most recent clash took place just four days ago, on September 5, 2026, when HK Kopavogur defeated Fylkir 2-1 at home. This fresh result underlines the home advantage in this fixture.

League Table Positions

In the overall 1st Division standings, Fylkir sits 3rd with 40 points from 22 matches, while HK Kopavogur is 4th with 38 points. However, the home/away splits tell a different story. HK Kopavogur are the best home team in the league: they have played 11 home games, won 10, drawn 1, and lost none, scoring 31 goals and conceding only 10. Fylkir’s away record is 5 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 19 goals scored and 23 conceded. The gap between home strength and away weakness is decisive.

Win Probability: HK Kopavogur or Fylkir?

The calculated win probabilities are: HK Kopavogur win – 45%, draw – 25%, Fylkir win – 30%. These figures are derived from the bookmaker odds (normalized to remove the margin) and then strongly adjusted for the home/away league stats. The initial odds implied a near toss-up, with a slight edge for the away side. However, HK Kopavogur’s flawless home record (10W-1D-0L) and Fylkir’s struggles on the road (5W-6L) justify a clear shift toward the home team. The recent 2-1 H2H win at this venue further supports HK Kopavogur as the most likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers are offering odds of around 2.63 for a HK Kopavogur win, 2.63 for a draw, and 2.50 for a Fylkir win. This pricing suggests a very close match, but it does not fully reflect the extreme home dominance of HK Kopavogur. Based on the stats, the prediction is HK Kopavogur to win. The draw is a possible outcome, but the home side’s near-perfect record at home makes them the safest pick.