Gabon - Niger prediction 29 September 2026

Africa ยท African Cup of NationsFinished
Gabon
2:0
FT
Niger
Match Info
CompetitionAfrican Cup of Nations ยท Africa
Start date
Kick-off
RefereeIssa Sy
Recent Form
Gabon
W
L
D
L
L
Niger
L
L
W
L
D
Recent matches ยท Gabon
African Cup of Nations
Gabon
Niger
20
W
African Cup of Nations
Morocco
Gabon
20
L
Friendly International
Trinidad and Tobago
Gabon
22
D
Friendly International
Uzbekistan
Gabon
31
L
African Cup of Nations
Gabon
Cote d'Ivoire
23
L
African Cup of Nations
Gabon
Mozambique
23
L
African Cup of Nations
Cameroon
Gabon
10
L
Friendly International
Uganda
Gabon
00
D
World. World Cup Qualification Africa
Nigeria
Gabon
11
D
World. World Cup Qualification Africa
Gabon
Burundi
20
W
World. World Cup Qualification Africa
Gambia
Gabon
34
W
World. World Cup Qualification Africa
Gabon
Cote d'Ivoire
00
D
World. World Cup Qualification Africa
Seychelles
Gabon
04
W
Friendly International
Guinea-Bissau
Gabon
02
W
World. World Cup Qualification Africa
Kenya
Gabon
12
W
Recent matches ยท Niger
Friendly International
Algeria
Niger
21
L
African Cup of Nations
Gabon
Niger
20
L
African Cup of Nations
Niger
Lesotho
21
W
Friendly International
Niger
Mauritania
01
L
Friendly International
Benin
Niger
11
D
Friendly International
Niger
Togo
01
L
Friendly International
Libya
Niger
00
D
Friendly International
Guinea
Niger
11
D
Friendly International
Burkina Faso
Niger
32
L
World. World Cup Qualification Africa
Zambia
Niger
01
W
World. World Cup Qualification Africa
Niger
Congo
31
W
World. World Cup Qualification Africa
Tanzania
Niger
01
W
World. World Cup Qualification Africa
Morocco
Niger
50
L
Friendly International
Niger
Zimbabwe
11
D
Friendly International
Oman
Niger
41
L
Lineups
Gabon4-4-2
  • 1J. AmonomeG
  • 99D. BouangaM
  • 22D. NdongM
  • 5A. Moucketou-MoussoundaD
  • 31J. OyonoD
  • 80S. BabickaF
  • 3J. EkomiรฉD
  • 4U. MboulaD
  • 53A. Biyogo PokoM
  • 8G. KangaM
Substitutes
  • 8C. Loufilou
  • 99P. Mbina
  • 20A. Oyono
  • 11T. Averlant
  • 26A. Do Marcolino
  • 65H. Do Marcolino
  • 11A. Ella
Niger4-2-3-1
  • 4A. MuhammadM
  • 3O. SakoD
  • 12O. BadamassiM
  • 9K. AmoustaphaM
  • 7D. SosahF
  • 23R. AlhassaneD
  • 5A. CamaraD
Substitutes
  • 6A. Sabo
  • 26M. Amadou Sabo
  • 19H. Amadou
Head-to-Head ยท summary
3
Gabon
0
Draws
0
Niger
Previous meetings
African Cup of Nations
Gabon
Niger
20
Friendly International
Gabon
Niger
31
Friendly International
Gabon
Niger
31
League Standings
#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Morocco22004:0+46
2South Africa22007:1+66
3Rwanda22005:2+36
4Guinea-Bissau22005:0+56
5Congo DR22004:1+36
6Cote d'Ivoire22004:0+46
7Gambia22006:3+36
8Mali22004:1+36
9Senegal21102:1+14
10Egypt21105:0+54
11Algeria21105:3+24
12Cameroon21104:2+24
13Uganda21102:1+14
14Benin21103:2+14
15Burkina Faso21102:1+14
16Mozambique21105:2+34
17Gabon21012:203
18Nigeria21012:4-23
19Comoros21012:3-13
20Zambia21013:303
21Guinea21012:203
22Zimbabwe21014:403
23Malawi11002:1+13
24Equatorial Guinea21011:2-13
25Sudan21012:4-23
26Namibia21011:103
27Niger21012:3-13
28Mauritania21014:3+13
29Togo21011:2-13
30Botswana20204:402
31Tunisia20203:302
32Eritrea20111:6-51
33Angola10100:001
34Tanzania20111:3-21
35Congo20111:2-11
36Kenya20111:2-11
37Libya20112:3-11
38Burundi20112:3-11
39Madagascar20112:3-11
40Cape Verde20022:5-30
41Somalia20021:4-30
42South Sudan20021:7-60
43Lesotho20021:4-30
44Sierra Leone20022:4-20
45Ethiopia20020:2-20
46Liberia20021:4-30
47Central African Republic20021:4-30
48Ghana20022:6-40
Champions LeagueEuropeRelegation

Gabon vs Niger Prediction (Sep 29)

The Gabon vs Niger prediction for the African Cup of Nations match on September 29, 2026, at 20:00 points to a home victory. Based on odds, head-to-head dominance, and home advantage, Gabon has a 55% win probability, while Niger holds a 20% chance of an upset.

Team Form

Gabon's recent form is poor, with four losses and one draw in their last five matches:

  • Morocco 2-0 Gabon (Sep 25, African Cup of Nations) โ€“ L
  • Trinidad and Tobago 2-2 Gabon (Mar 30, Friendly) โ€“ D
  • Uzbekistan 3-1 Gabon (Mar 27, Friendly) โ€“ L
  • Gabon 2-3 Cote d'Ivoire (Dec 31, African Cup of Nations) โ€“ L
  • Gabon 2-3 Mozambique (Dec 28, African Cup of Nations) โ€“ L

Niger's form is slightly better, with one win, two draws, and two losses:

  • Niger 2-1 Lesotho (Sep 25, African Cup of Nations) โ€“ W
  • Niger 0-1 Mauritania (Jun 8, Friendly) โ€“ L
  • Benin 1-1 Niger (Jun 5, Friendly) โ€“ D
  • Niger 0-1 Togo (Mar 31, Friendly) โ€“ L
  • Libya 0-0 Niger (Mar 27, Friendly) โ€“ D

Gabon has struggled defensively, conceding 13 goals in five games, while Niger has been more compact but lacks attacking firepower.

Head-to-Head Record

Gabon has dominated the head-to-head series, winning both previous meetings 3-1. Both matches were friendlies played on November 20, 2022. The H2H record stands at 2 wins for Gabon, 0 draws, and 0 wins for Niger. This historical edge reinforces Gabon's favorite status.

Win Probability: Gabon or Niger?

Gabon has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Niger has a 20% chance. These probabilities are derived from the betting odds (implied Gabon win ~60%), adjusted downward due to Gabon's terrible form. Home advantage and the perfect H2H record still make Gabon the clear favorite, but their recent results suggest vulnerability. Niger's away form (two draws in last five) gives them a realistic shot at a point.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Gabon as the strong favorite. The best available odds are around 1.53 for a home win, 2.10 for a draw, and 5.25 for an away win. Some books offer as high as 1.65 on Gabon, 3.78 on the draw, and 6.88 on Niger. Based on the stats, Gabon is the likely winner, but their poor form makes a low-scoring game probable. A bet on Gabon to win offers value given the H2H dominance, but the draw is a tempting option at odds above 2.10.

Gabon vs Niger โ€” FAQ

Who will win Gabon vs Niger?
Gabon is the favorite with a 55% win probability. The draw has a 25% chance, and Niger has a 20% chance of winning. Gabon's home advantage and perfect head-to-head record outweigh their recent poor form.
What is the win probability for Gabon?
Gabon has a 55% chance of winning. This is based on betting odds, home field, and a 2-0 head-to-head record, though their last five matches (0 wins) lower the probability from the odds-implied 60%.
When is the Gabon vs Niger match?
The match is on September 29, 2026, at 20:00 local time. It is an African Cup of Nations fixture.
What are the odds for the match?
Odds for a Gabon win range from 1.53 to 1.65, a draw from 2.10 to 3.78, and a Niger win from 5.25 to 6.88. The best available odds are 1.53 (Gabon), 2.10 (draw), and 5.25 (Niger).
What is the head-to-head record between Gabon and Niger?
Gabon has won both previous meetings 3-1. The matches were friendlies on November 20, 2022. The H2H record is 2 wins for Gabon, 0 draws, and 0 wins for Niger.
Gabon โ€“ Niger ยท match page