AFC Emley - Gainsborough Trinity prediction 10 October 2026
AFC Emley
Gainsborough TrinityAFC Emley
Lancaster CityStockton TownAFC EmleyFC United of ManchesterAFC EmleyAFC EmleyGainsborough TrinityAFC EmleyBamber BridgeWarrington RylandsAFC EmleyAFC EmleyWorkingtonAFC EmleySpennymoor Town FCBuryAFC EmleyBishop AucklandAFC EmleyAFC EmleyBishop AucklandAFC EmleyGuiseleyWarrington TownAFC EmleyRedcar AthleticAFC EmleyAFC EmleyAshton UnitedWarrington TownGainsborough TrinityGainsborough TrinityHydeGainsborough TrinityIlkeston TownAFC EmleyGainsborough TrinityWhitby TownGainsborough TrinityGainsborough TrinityAnstey NomadsWarrington TownGainsborough TrinityBuryGainsborough TrinityGainsborough TrinityLeamingtonLeamingtonGainsborough TrinityGainsborough TrinityAvroGainsborough TrinityCleethorpes TownAshton UnitedGainsborough TrinityQuorn FCGainsborough TrinityGainsborough TrinityBuryAFC EmleyGainsborough Trinity| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Redcar Athletic | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 33:13 | +20 | 34 |
| 2 |  Cleethorpes Town | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 31:9 | +22 | 30 |
| 3 |  Guiseley | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 27:12 | +15 | 28 |
| 4 | Gainsborough Trinity | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 31:17 | +14 | 28 |
| 5 |  Avro | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 37:27 | +10 | 28 |
| 6 |  Workington | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 26:25 | +1 | 24 |
| 7 |  Warrington Rylands | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 25:21 | +4 | 23 |
| 8 |  Warrington Town | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 23 |
| 9 |  Curzon Ashton | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 24:17 | +7 | 22 |
| 10 |  Alfreton Town | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:17 | +4 | 20 |
| 11 |  Lancaster City | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 20:29 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 |  Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:11 | +11 | 19 |
| 13 |  Whitby Town | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 22:37 | -15 | 19 |
| 14 | AFC Emley | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16:26 | -10 | 17 |
| 15 |  Hyde | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:29 | -14 | 15 |
| 16 |  Leek Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 14 |
| 17 |  Ashton United | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17:18 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 |  Quorn FC | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 23:29 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 |  Stockton Town | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 18:28 | -10 | 12 |
| 20 |  FC United of Manchester | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 19:25 | -6 | 10 |
| 21 |  Bamber Bridge | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 17:34 | -17 | 10 |
| 22 |  Ilkeston Town | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10:34 | -24 | 10 |
AFC Emley vs Gainsborough Trinity Prediction (Oct 10, 2026)
The AFC Emley vs Gainsborough Trinity prediction for October 10, 2026, points to a clear away favorite. This Northern Premier League clash kicks off at 15:00, with Gainsborough Trinity holding a 65% win probability based on odds and recent form. AFC Emley, struggling with five straight losses, faces an uphill battle at home.
Team Form
AFC Emley
AFC Emley are in a deep crisis, losing all of their last five matches. On October 6, they fell 0-3 at home to Bamber Bridge. Before that, a 1-4 defeat at Warrington Rylands on October 3, and a 1-3 home loss to Workington on September 29. In the FA Cup, they were thrashed 0-4 by Spennymoor Town FC on September 19, and on September 12, Bury beat them 4-0. With 0 points from these games and a goal difference of 2:18, their confidence is rock bottom.
Gainsborough Trinity
Gainsborough Trinity's form is mixed but far superior. They won 6-2 at Whitby Town on October 6, showing attacking firepower. However, they lost 2-3 at home to Anstey Nomads in the FA Cup on October 3. Two draws preceded that: 0-0 at Warrington Town on September 29 and 3-3 at Bury in the FA Trophy on September 26. On September 22, they beat Leamington 3-0 at home. Overall, two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five, with 14 goals scored.
Head-to-Head Record
There is no head-to-head history between AFC Emley and Gainsborough Trinity. This will be their first meeting, with zero wins, draws, or losses on either side.
League Table Positions
Neither side features in the top 12 of the Northern Premier League overall standings. The available table shows Redcar Athletic leading with 25 points. AFC Emley are absent from the home top 8, and Gainsborough Trinity are missing from the away top 8, indicating both clubs are in the lower half of the table. However, Gainsborough's recent away win at Whitby Town suggests they can perform on the road.
Win Probability: AFC Emley or Gainsborough Trinity?
Based on the odds, team form, and home/away factor, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:
- AFC Emley win: 15%
- Draw: 20%
- Gainsborough Trinity win: 65%
The bookmakers' odds (home 4.60, draw 3.80, away 1.55) imply a strong away advantage. After removing the margin, Gainsborough Trinity's chance is around 57%, but we have adjusted it upward due to AFC Emley's dreadful five-loss streak and Gainsborough's two wins in their last five. Home advantage for AFC Emley is negligible given their form. Gainsborough Trinity is the clear favorite to win.
Odds & Match Prediction
The available odds for this Northern Premier League fixture are: AFC Emley home win at 4.60, a draw at 3.80, and a Gainsborough Trinity away win at 1.55. Bookmakers see Gainsborough Trinity as the strong favorite. Considering all stats, our AFC Emley vs Gainsborough Trinity prediction is an away victory. Gainsborough's attacking form, especially the 6-2 win at Whitby Town, contrasts sharply with AFC Emley's defensive frailties. A bet on Gainsborough Trinity to win offers value based on the data.
AFC Emley vs Gainsborough Trinity โ FAQ
- Who will win AFC Emley vs Gainsborough Trinity?
- Gainsborough Trinity is the most likely winner with a 65% probability. AFC Emley has only a 15% chance, while the draw stands at 20%. These percentages are based on odds, recent form, and the lack of head-to-head history.
- What is the win probability for Gainsborough Trinity?
- Gainsborough Trinity has a 65% chance of winning this match. This high probability reflects their superior recent form (two wins in the last five) and the bookmakers' odds of 1.55 for an away victory.
- When is the AFC Emley vs Gainsborough Trinity match?
- The match is scheduled for October 10, 2026, at 15:00 local time. It is a Northern Premier League fixture in England.
- What are the odds for AFC Emley vs Gainsborough Trinity?
- The 1X2 odds are: AFC Emley home win at 4.60, a draw at 3.80, and Gainsborough Trinity away win at 1.55. These odds indicate Gainsborough Trinity as the clear favorite.
- What is AFC Emley's recent form?
- AFC Emley have lost their last five matches in all competitions, conceding 18 goals and scoring only 2. Their most recent result was a 0-3 home defeat to Bamber Bridge on October 6, 2026.