Precko - Gaj Mace prediction 2 October 2026

The Precko vs Gaj Mace prediction for this Treca HNL match on Oct 2, 2026 at 18:00 local time points to a tight contest. Based on the stats, Precko has a 38% chance of winning, the draw is at 26%, and Gaj Mace holds a 36% chance. The bookmakers see a close game, and the head-to-head record reinforces the home advantage factor.

Team Form

Precko's recent results show a D, L, L, L, W pattern in their last five fixtures. They drew 1-1 at home against Samobor, lost 1-2 to NK Mladost Petrinja, lost 2-4 away at Tigar Sveta Nedelja, lost 0-4 at home to Inter Zapresic, and beat Tresnjevka 2-1 at home. That is one win in five, with 5 goals scored and 12 conceded — a leaky defence.

Gaj Mace's last five form reads W, L, L, L, W. They beat Ponikve 4-1 at home, lost 0-2 at home to Bistra, lost 1-3 away at Naftas HASK Zagreb, lost 3-4 at home to Tekstilac Ravnice, and beat Ponikve 3-2 at home. Despite two wins, they also conceded 12 goals and scored 11, confirming both sides are vulnerable at the back.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met twice before. Precko won 1-0 at home in the Druga HNL on Oct 3, 2025, while Gaj Mace won 3-1 at home in the Treca HNL on Apr 10, 2026. Each team has a win on home soil, with no draws, suggesting a pattern where the home side holds an edge.

League Table Positions

Neither Precko nor Gaj Mace appears in the top 12 of the Treca HNL standings. This indicates both are positioned lower down the table, which aligns with their inconsistent form and defensive weaknesses.

Win Probability: Precko or Gaj Mace?

Based on odds normalization to remove the bookmaker margin, Precko has a 38% chance of winning, the draw is at 26%, and Gaj Mace has a 36% chance. The odds (home 2.38, draw 3.40, away 2.50) translate into a close implied probability, and the even head-to-head record — with home wins for each side — supports the slight edge for Precko as the host. Both teams’ recent leaky form makes the draw a credible outcome. The conclusion: Precko is more likely to win than Gaj Mace, but the match is finely poised.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds show Precko at 2.38, the draw at 3.40, and Gaj Mace at 2.50. Bookmakers see Precko as the marginal favourite. Our Precko vs Gaj Mace prediction leans towards a home win based on the probability calculation and the historic home advantage, but the defensive frailties of both sides mean a draw or an away win cannot be ruled out. For betting tips, the value may lie in the home win, although caution is advised.