Gaziantep FK - Erzurum Buyuksehir prediction 24 October 2026

Our Gaziantep FK vs Erzurum Buyuksehir prediction for this Super League clash on Oct 24 at 14:00 is a tight contest with the hosts holding a narrow edge. Based on the latest odds and form, Gaziantep FK enters as the bookmakers’ favorite, but Erzurum Buyuksehir’s resilience makes a draw a very live option. The match kicks off at Kalyon Stadium in Gaziantep.

Team Form

Gaziantep FK’s recent results show a struggle for consistency. Their last five matches read L, L, D, W, L. A 0-3 home loss to Corum Belediyespor on Oct 11 and a 0-2 defeat at Kocaelispor highlight defensive vulnerabilities. They did manage a 4-2 win at Goztepe, but have won only once in that five-game stretch, suggesting they are not in peak form.

Erzurum Buyuksehir comes into this fixture with stronger recent momentum: W, D, W, L, W. They secured a 2-0 home victory against Eyupspor on Oct 17 and also beat Samsunspor and Konyaspor 1-0 in September. Their only heavy defeat was a 0-3 loss away at Besiktas. With three wins in five, they look the more reliable side based purely on form.

Head-to-Head Record

The historical record favors Erzurum Buyuksehir. In 11 total meetings, Gaziantep FK have never won — with 7 draws and 4 wins for Erzurum Buyuksehir. The most recent clash, on Apr 25, 2021, ended 2-3 in Erzurum’s favor. The previous two meetings were both 1-1 draws. These stats underline how difficult Erzurum has been for Gaziantep, with draws being the most frequent outcome.

League Table Positions

In the Super League overall standings, Erzurum Buyuksehir sits 11th with 11 points from 8 matches (3 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses), scoring just 5 goals and conceding 11. Gaziantep FK is not listed in the provided overall top 12, but appears 8th in the away standings table with 6 points from 4 away games.

Looking specifically at home/away splits: Erzurum Buyuksehir has a strong home record, ranked 8th with 9 points from 4 home games. Gaziantep FK’s away form is solid, ranked 8th with 6 points from 4 away trips. This match breaks the pattern, however, as it’s played at Gaziantep’s Kalyon Stadium. Gaziantep’s home table position is not given, but the data hints at a balanced matchup between a strong traveling side and a team with a good home record.

Win Probability: Gaziantep FK or Erzurum Buyuksehir?

We calculated the implied probabilities from available bookmaker odds (home: 2.32, draw: 1.12, away: 3.40), which after removing the margin and normalizing, give a baseline. Adjusting for the head-to-head record (where Erzurum has never lost to Gaziantep in 11 matches), the recent superior form of Erzurum, and the home advantage for Gaziantep, our final Gaziantep FK vs Erzurum Buyuksehir win probabilities are:

• Gaziantep FK win: 38%
• Draw: 35%
• Erzurum Buyuksehir win: 27%

Even though the bookies installed Gaziantep as the favorite, the massive H2H trend and Erzurum’s better current form heavily neutralize that edge. A draw is a very probable outcome, as reflected in the unusually low draw odds and the 7 draws in their 11 previous meetings.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Gaziantep FK as the favorite with best odds of 2.32 for a home win. The draw is offered as low as 1.12, indicating strong market support for a stalemate. Erzurum Buyuksehir’s away win is priced up to 3.65, making them the underdog despite their superior H2H and form.

Based on the stats and the strong historical draw bias, our betting tip leans toward the draw or a double chance on Erzurum Buyuksehir. However, with Gaziantep’s shaky defense and the visitors’ defensive organization, a low-scoring match also looks likely. The final match prediction: this has a draw written all over it, but if there is a winner, Erzurum Buyuksehir represents the better value given their track record against this opponent.