Kocaelispor - Gaziantep FK prediction 19 September 2026
Kocaelispor
Gaziantep FK
AlanyasporKocaelisporKocaelisporGoztepeBesiktasKocaelisporKocaelisporGaziantep FKGalatasarayKocaelisporKocaelisporSamsunsporKonyasporKocaelisporKocaelisporAmed Sportif FaaliyetlerIstanbul BasaksehirKocaelisporAntalyasporKocaelisporKocaelisporFatih KaragumrukKasimpasaKocaelisporGenclerbirligiKocaelisporKocaelisporGoztepeGalatasarayKocaelisporGaziantep FKErzurum BuyuksehirIstanbul BasaksehirGaziantep FKGaziantep FKCorum BelediyesporKocaelisporGaziantep FKGaziantep FKFenerbahceGoztepeGaziantep FKGaziantep FKCaykur RizesporEyupsporGaziantep FKGaziantep FKAlanyasporFK IMT Novi BeogradGaziantep FKOFK BeogradGaziantep FKVozdovacGaziantep FKGaziantep FKIstanbul BasaksehirGoztepeGaziantep FKGaziantep FKBesiktasKocaelisporGaziantep FKKocaelisporGaziantep FKGaziantep FKKocaelisporGaziantep FKKocaelisporGaziantep FKKocaelispor| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19:12 | +7 | 22 |
| 2 |  Amed Sportif Faaliyetler | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Trabzonspor | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22:8 | +14 | 19 |
| 4 |  Besiktas | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18:10 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Fenerbahce | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 23:8 | +15 | 16 |
| 6 |  Kasimpasa | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13:9 | +4 | 16 |
| 7 | Kocaelispor | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11:9 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |  Erzurum Buyuksehir | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 14 |
| 9 |  Corum Belediyespor | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 13 |
| 10 |  Goztepe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19:16 | +3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Alanyaspor | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Istanbul Basaksehir | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 |  Caykur Rizespor | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 |  Konyaspor | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 | Gaziantep FK | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 |  Genรงlerbirliฤi S.K. | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:18 | -11 | 8 |
| 17 |  Samsunspor | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8:21 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |  Eyupspor | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2:23 | -21 | 3 |
Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK Prediction (Sep 19)
The Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK prediction for this Super League clash on September 19, 2026, points to a tight contest. According to our win probability model, Kocaelispor has a 40% chance of winning, the draw stands at 30%, and Gaziantep FK has a 30% chance. The match kicks off at 14:00 at Kocaeli Stadyumu in ฤฐzmit.
Team Form
Kocaelispor's last five matches: L, W, W, W, L. They suffered a 1-0 away loss to Galatasaray on Sep 13, then previously beat Samsunspor 1-0 at home, won 2-1 at Konyaspor, defeated Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 2-0 at home, and lost 2-0 at Istanbul Basaksehir. At home this season, they have a perfect record: two wins, three goals scored, and zero conceded.
Gaziantep FK's recent form: W, L, W, D, W. They won 4-2 at Goztepe on Sep 7, lost 1-2 at home to Caykur Rizespor, beat Eyupspor 1-0 away, drew 1-1 at home with Alanyaspor, and won a friendly 3-0 at FK IMT Novi Beograd. Away from home in the league, they have two wins from two, scoring five goals and conceding two.
Head-to-Head Record
The last four meetings between these sides show Gaziantep FK with a clear edge: three wins to Kocaelispor's one. The most recent match, on Feb 15, 2026, saw Kocaelispor win 3-0 at home. Before that, Gaziantep FK won 1-0 (Cup, Jan 2026), 2-0 (Super League, Sep 2025), and 3-2 (Cup, Dec 2020). Overall, Gaziantep FK has dominated the head-to-head, but Kocaelispor's home victory earlier this year gives them hope.
League Table Positions
Kocaelispor sits 4th in the Super League with 9 points from 4 matches (3 wins, 1 loss). Their home record is the second-best in the division: 2 wins, 3 goals for, 0 against. Gaziantep FK is 9th with 7 points (2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). On the road, they are 4th in the away table with 2 wins, 5 goals scored, and 2 conceded. Both teams are strong in their respective home/away contexts, making this a balanced matchup.
Win Probability: Kocaelispor or Gaziantep FK?
We calculated the win probabilities by starting with the bookmaker odds (home 2.32, draw 3.40, away 3.10). The inverse of these odds gave implied chances of 41.1% for a Kocaelispor win, 28.1% for the draw, and 30.8% for a Gaziantep FK win, after removing the margin. We then adjusted for head-to-head history (Gaziantep FK's 3-1 advantage in recent meetings) and current form (both teams solid, Kocaelispor's perfect home defensive record). The final probabilities are: Kocaelispor win 40%, draw 30%, Gaziantep FK win 30%. Kocaelispor is the slight favorite, but the match is too close to call with high confidence.
Odds & Match Prediction
The best available odds show Kocaelispor as the favorite at 2.32, the draw at 3.40, and an away win for Gaziantep FK at 3.10. Bookmakers see the home side as the more likely winner, which aligns with Kocaelispor's strong home form. Our prediction: based on the stats, Kocaelispor is more likely to win, but a draw is a very realistic outcome. The match could be decided by a single goal, and betting tips would suggest a low-scoring affair given both teams' defensive records in their respective home/away splits.
Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK โ FAQ
- Who will win Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK?
- Kocaelispor has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Gaziantep FK has a 30% chance. It's a close match, but Kocaelispor's perfect home record gives them a slight edge.
- What is the win probability for Kocaelispor?
- Kocaelispor's win probability is 40%. This is based on odds, current form, and their strong home performances this season, though Gaziantep FK's historical advantage in head-to-head meetings keeps the match tight.
- When is the Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK match?
- The match is on September 19, 2026, at 14:00 local time. It is a Super League fixture taking place at Kocaeli Stadyumu in ฤฐzmit, Turkey.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The odds for the 1X2 market are: Kocaelispor win 2.32, draw 3.40, Gaziantep FK win 3.10. These are the best available odds from bookmakers, showing Kocaelispor as the favorite.
- What is the head-to-head record between Kocaelispor and Gaziantep FK?
- In the last four meetings, Gaziantep FK has won three times and Kocaelispor once. The most recent match, in February 2026, ended 3-0 to Kocaelispor at home, but Gaziantep FK won the previous three encounters.