Enkopings SK - Gefle IF prediction 3 October 2026

The Enkopings SK vs Gefle IF prediction for October 3, 2026, in Sweden's Division 1 points to a closely contested match. Based on our analysis, Enkopings SK enters as the slight favorite with a 42% win probability, while Gefle IF has a 33% chance and the draw stands at 25%.

Team Form

Enkopings SK's recent form shows a positive trend with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches:

• Sep 27: Arlanda 2-0 Enkopings SK (L)
• Sep 19: Enkopings SK 2-2 IF Karlstad (D)
• Sep 16: Sollentuna United FF 2-3 Enkopings SK (W)
• Sep 10: Enkopings SK 2-1 Assyriska (W)
• Sep 6: Vasalunds IF 2-3 Enkopings SK (W)

Gefle IF has been less consistent, managing two wins and three losses in the same period:

• Sep 27: Gefle IF 0-1 Vasalunds IF (L)
• Sep 20: AFC Eskilstuna 0-1 Gefle IF (W)
• Sep 16: Gefle IF 0-2 Arlanda (L)
• Sep 12: Gefle IF 3-1 FC Jarfalla (W)
• Sep 5: Sollentuna United FF 1-0 Gefle IF (L)

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met three times in recent Division 1 history, with Gefle IF holding a 2-1 advantage:

• May 2, 2026: Gefle IF 2-1 Enkopings SK
• Aug 16, 2025: Gefle IF 5-1 Enkopings SK
• Jun 7, 2025: Enkopings SK 2-0 Gefle IF

The most recent encounter ended in a home win for Gefle, but Enkopings SK will look to use home advantage this time to even the series.

Win Probability: Enkopings SK or Gefle IF?

We calculate the outcome probabilities by starting with the bookmaker odds (home 2.35, draw 3.40, away 2.55). The inverse of these odds gives implied chances of 38.3% for a home win, 26.5% for a draw, and 35.2% for an away win after removing the margin. Adjusting for Enkopings SK's superior recent form (3W-1D-1L vs 2W-3L) and the home-field factor, we shift the probabilities to: Enkopings SK 42%, draw 25%, Gefle IF 33%. Enkopings SK has a 42% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Gefle IF has a 33% chance. The home side is the most likely winner, but the match remains open.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available 1X2 odds are:

• Enkopings SK win: 2.35
• Draw: 3.40
• Gefle IF win: 2.55

Bookmakers see Enkopings SK as the favorite, which aligns with our probability assessment. Based on the stats, Enkopings SK to win is the most probable outcome, but the value may lie in the draw or away win given Gefle's head-to-head edge. Our final Enkopings SK vs Gefle IF prediction is a home victory, though a cautious approach is advised.