Staphorst - Genemuiden prediction 22 September 2026

The Staphorst vs Genemuiden prediction for the KNVB Beker match on September 22, 2026, at 19:00 points to an away win. Based on recent form and bookmaker odds, Genemuiden has a 43% chance of winning, while Staphorst sits at 22% and a draw is at 35%.

Team Form

Staphorst enters this cup tie without a win in their last five matches. They recorded four draws and one loss, scoring 6 goals and conceding 8. Their most recent outing was a 1-1 draw at Harkemase Boys on September 12. Before that, they drew 1-1 with UNA in the KNVB Beker, 0-0 at ADO '20, lost 2-4 at home to Excelsior 31, and drew 2-2 at DOVO. The team has struggled to turn draws into victories, showing defensive vulnerabilities.

Genemuiden, on the other hand, is in strong form with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five. They beat Lisse 2-1 in the KNVB Beker on September 1, then defeated Eemdijk 3-1 and DVS 33 Ermelo 2-1 in the league. A 1-1 friendly draw with HHC Hardenberg and a 1-2 loss at Hoogeveen complete the picture. Genemuiden has scored 9 goals in these five games, averaging nearly two per match, and their attack looks sharp.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head history between Staphorst and Genemuiden. This will be the first official meeting between the two sides, making form and odds the primary indicators for this prediction.

Win Probability: Staphorst or Genemuiden?

After analyzing the available data, the win probabilities are: Staphorst 22%, draw 35%, Genemuiden 43%. These figures are derived from the bookmaker odds (inverse of the odds, normalized to remove the margin) and adjusted for the contrasting form of both teams. The odds imply a close contest, but Genemuiden's three recent wins and Staphorst's winless streak tilt the balance toward the away side. Home advantage gives Staphorst some hope, but their inability to secure a victory in five attempts makes them the underdog.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced this match with Genemuiden as the favorite. The best available odds show a Staphorst win at 3.50, a draw at 2.38, and a Genemuiden win at 2.30. These numbers reflect the market's view that an away win is the most likely outcome, though the draw odds are also relatively short. Based on the stats, our Staphorst vs Genemuiden prediction leans toward a Genemuiden victory, but a draw cannot be ruled out given Staphorst's tendency to share points. A 1-2 or 1-1 scoreline appears plausible.