Georgia - Hungary prediction 14 November 2026

Our Hungary vs Georgia prediction for the UEFA Nations League clash on Oct 2, 2026, at Puskás Aréna in Budapest points to a tightly contested affair where the draw holds the highest probability. Based on bookmaker odds and recent form, Hungary has a 38% chance of winning, the draw is at 40%, and Georgia has a 22% chance. The match kicks off at 19:45 local time, and the odds suggest a very even matchup with little to separate the sides.

Team Form

Hungary's recent home form shows a mixed bag: two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches at Puskás Aréna. They drew 0-0 with Northern Ireland on Sep 28, lost 0-1 to Ukraine on Sep 25, beat Kazakhstan 3-1 on Jun 9, defeated Finland 2-1 on Jun 5, and drew 0-0 with Greece on Mar 31. That's two clean sheets in five, but only two wins, indicating a solid but not dominant home side.

Georgia's away form over the same period is nearly identical: two wins, two draws, one loss. They drew 0-0 at Ukraine on Sep 28, lost 0-1 at Northern Ireland on Sep 25, beat Bahrain 2-0 on Jun 5, drew 1-1 at Romania on Jun 2, and won 2-0 at Lithuania on Mar 29. Georgia have kept three clean sheets in those five away games, showing defensive resilience on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head record available between Hungary and Georgia. This will be the first official meeting between the two nations, so no historical data can inform the Hungary vs Georgia prediction.

League Table Positions

The provided UEFA Nations League standings do not include Hungary or Georgia among the top-ranked teams. Both sides are competing in a group where their exact positions are not listed in the available data, so a direct league-table comparison cannot be made for this betting tips analysis.

Win Probability: Hungary or Georgia?

After normalizing the average bookmaker odds (home win 2.23, draw 2.10, away win 3.70) to remove the margin, the true probabilities are: Hungary win 38%, draw 40%, Georgia win 22%. The draw is the single most likely outcome, but Hungary have a significantly higher chance of winning than Georgia. Home advantage at the Puskás Aréna and a slightly more consistent scoring record in recent friendlies give Hungary the edge if a winner emerges. However, Georgia's solid away defensive form (three clean sheets in five) makes them a tough opponent to break down. Overall, the match is poised to be a low-scoring, cautious affair, with a draw the most probable result.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a very open contest. The best odds available across six bookmakers range from 1.95 to 2.50 for a Hungary win, 2.02 to 2.15 for the draw, and 3.30 to 3.95 for a Georgia away victory. The tight draw odds reflect the expectation of a close match. Based on the stats, our Hungary vs Georgia prediction is a draw, with a 1-1 scoreline a likely outcome. Hungary's home form shows they can score (seven goals in five games), but Georgia's away defence is capable of keeping things tight. For betting tips, the draw offers value, and under 2.5 total goals is also worth considering given both teams' recent low-scoring trends.