Malta U21 - Germany U21 prediction 30 September 2026
Malta U21
Germany U21
Latvia U21Malta U21Malta U21Germany U21Malta U21Northern Ireland U21Moldova U21Malta U21Georgia U21Malta U21Greece U21Malta U21Malta U21Latvia U21Germany U21Malta U21Malta U21Georgia U21Northern Ireland U21Malta U21Malta U21Greece U21San Marino U21Malta U21San Marino U21Malta U21Malta U21Estonia U21Spain U21Malta U21Germany U21Georgia U21Malta U21Germany U21Latvia U21Germany U21Greece U21Germany U21Germany U21Northern Ireland U21Georgia U21Germany U21Germany U21Malta U21Northern Ireland U21Germany U21Germany U21Greece U21Germany U21Latvia U21Albania U21Germany U21England U21Germany U21Germany U21France U21Germany U21Italy U21England U21Germany U21Malta U21Germany U21Germany U21Malta U21| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Italy U21 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 32:7 | +25 | 27 |
| 2 |  Poland U21 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 28:8 | +20 | 27 |
| 3 | Germany U21 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 30:5 | +25 | 24 |
| 4 |  Spain U21 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 40:4 | +36 | 24 |
| 5 |  Greece U21 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 28:6 | +22 | 24 |
| 6 |  England U21 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 22:4 | +18 | 23 |
| 7 |  France U21 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 27:7 | +20 | 23 |
| 8 |  Portugal U21 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 33:2 | +31 | 22 |
| 9 |  Finland U21 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 30:3 | +27 | 22 |
| 10 |  Czech Republic U21 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:4 | +13 | 18 |
| 11 |  Switzerland U21 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | +6 | 17 |
| 12 |  Ireland Republic U21 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 |  Slovakia U21 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:12 | +3 | 17 |
| 14 |  Norway U21 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | +13 | 16 |
| 15 |  Belgium U21 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:2 | +11 | 16 |
| 16 |  Croatia U21 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | +11 | 16 |
| 17 |  Romania U21 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11:6 | +5 | 16 |
| 18 |  Iceland U21 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 20:11 | +9 | 15 |
| 19 |  Denmark U21 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:6 | +9 | 14 |
| 20 |  Northern Ireland U21 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | +1 | 14 |
| 21 |  Scotland U21 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 23:12 | +11 | 14 |
| 22 |  Kosovo U21 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:7 | +10 | 14 |
| 23 |  Bulgaria U21 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | +1 | 14 |
| 24 |  Sweden U21 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:22 | -10 | 13 |
| 25 |  Turkey U21 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | +1 | 12 |
| 26 |  Ukraine U21 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | +4 | 12 |
| 27 |  Faroe Islands U21 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 12 |
| 28 |  Montenegro U21 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 12 |
| 29 |  Austria U21 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 30 |  Israel U21 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 31 |  Georgia U21 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 10 |
| 32 |  Netherlands U21 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | +1 | 9 |
| 33 |  Andorra U21 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 34 |  Bosnia-Herzegovina U21 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 7 |
| 35 |  North Macedonia U21 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8:20 | -12 | 7 |
| 36 |  Luxembourg U21 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 7 |
| 37 |  Azerbaijan U21 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:24 | -16 | 7 |
| 38 |  Hungary U21 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 6 |
| 39 |  Wales U21 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:21 | -15 | 6 |
| 40 |  Moldova U21 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:17 | -8 | 6 |
| 41 |  Latvia U21 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6:20 | -14 | 5 |
| 42 |  Slovenia U21 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 5 |
| 43 |  Belarus U21 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 44 |  Kazakhstan U21 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9:18 | -9 | 4 |
| 45 |  Cyprus U21 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6:29 | -23 | 3 |
| 46 |  Lithuania U21 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:16 | -12 | 2 |
| 47 |  Estonia U21 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9:25 | -16 | 2 |
| 48 |  Armenia U21 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5:25 | -20 | 1 |
| 49 | Malta U21 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2:36 | -34 | 0 |
| 50 |  San Marino U21 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0:55 | -55 | 0 |
| 51 |  Gibraltar U21 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1:41 | -40 | 0 |
Malta U21 vs Germany U21 Prediction (Sep 30)
Malta U21 vs Germany U21 prediction for the Euro Championship U21 Qualification match on Sep 30, 2026, at 17:00. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Germany U21 are overwhelming favorites with an 89% win probability, while Malta U21 have just a 1% chance of causing an upset. The draw stands at 10%.
Team Form
Malta U21 are in dreadful form, losing their last five matches in all competitions. They have conceded 17 goals and scored just once in that run:
- Malta U21 0-4 Northern Ireland U21 (Sep 26, 2026)
- Moldova U21 3-0 Malta U21 (Jun 4, 2026)
- Georgia U21 4-1 Malta U21 (Mar 31, 2026)
- Greece U21 5-0 Malta U21 (Mar 27, 2026)
- Malta U21 0-1 Latvia U21 (Nov 18, 2025)
Germany U21, on the other hand, have won five straight matches, scoring 17 goals and conceding none. Their recent results include a 6-0 demolition of Malta U21:
- Latvia U21 0-4 Germany U21 (Sep 26, 2026)
- Greece U21 0-2 Germany U21 (Mar 31, 2026)
- Germany U21 3-0 Northern Ireland U21 (Mar 27, 2026)
- Georgia U21 0-2 Germany U21 (Nov 18, 2025)
- Germany U21 6-0 Malta U21 (Nov 14, 2025)
Head-to-Head Record
These teams have met only once before, on Nov 14, 2025, in the same competition. Germany U21 won 6-0 at home. The head-to-head record shows 0 wins for Malta U21, 0 draws, and 1 win for Germany U21. The goal difference is 6-0 in Germany's favor, underlining the gulf in class.
League Table Positions
In the Euro Championship U21 Qualification overall standings, Germany U21 sit 3rd with 21 points from 8 matches (7 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss), scoring 26 goals and conceding only 4. Malta U21 are not ranked among the top 12 teams, reflecting their struggles in the group. The away standings further highlight Germany's strength: they have a perfect away record with 4 wins from 4, 10 goals scored and just 1 conceded.
Win Probability: Malta U21 or Germany U21?
After analyzing the odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the following win probabilities:
- Malta U21 win: 1%
- Draw: 10%
- Germany U21 win: 89%
The probabilities are derived from the inverse of the bookmaker odds (home win 126.00, draw 9.00, away win 1.07), normalized to remove the margin, and then adjusted slightly based on the teams' contrasting form and the historical result. Germany U21's perfect away record and five-match winning streak, combined with Malta U21's five consecutive defeats, make an away win the most likely outcome by a huge margin. Home advantage does little to improve Malta U21's chances given their defensive frailties.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers have priced Germany U21 as massive favorites. The best available odds for a Malta U21 win are as high as 126.00, while a draw can be backed at around 9.00. The away win is offered as low as 1.04, reflecting the near-certainty of a German victory. Based on the stats, the prediction is a comfortable win for Germany U21, likely with a clean sheet and multiple goals. The 6-0 result from the reverse fixture suggests another high-scoring affair is possible.
Malta U21 vs Germany U21 โ FAQ
- Who will win Malta U21 vs Germany U21?
- Germany U21 are overwhelmingly likely to win. Our probability model gives Malta U21 a 1% chance, a draw 10%, and Germany U21 an 89% chance of victory.
- What is the win probability for Germany U21?
- Germany U21 have an 89% win probability. This is based on bookmaker odds (away win as low as 1.04), their perfect recent form with five straight wins, and Malta U21's five consecutive defeats.
- When is the Malta U21 vs Germany U21 match?
- The match takes place on Sep 30, 2026, at 17:00 local time (+01:00). It is a Euro Championship U21 Qualification fixture.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The odds vary across bookmakers. A Malta U21 win is priced between 51.00 and 126.00, a draw between 8.00 and 11.00, and a Germany U21 win between 1.04 and 1.07.
- What is the head-to-head record between Malta U21 and Germany U21?
- The teams have met once, on Nov 14, 2025, with Germany U21 winning 6-0 at home. Malta U21 have yet to score or earn a point against Germany U21.