Germany - Netherlands prediction 16 November 2026
Germany
Netherlands
GreeceGermanyGermanySerbiaGermanyGreeceNetherlandsGermanyGermanyParaguayEcuadorGermanyGermanyCote d'IvoireGermanyCuracaoUSAGermanyGermanyFinlandGermanyGhanaSwitzerlandGermanyGermanyFranceGermanyPortugalGermanyItalyNetherlandsSerbiaGreeceNetherlandsSerbiaNetherlandsNetherlandsGermanyNetherlandsMoroccoTunisiaNetherlandsNetherlandsSwedenNetherlandsJapanNetherlandsUzbekistanNetherlandsAlgeriaNetherlandsEcuadorNetherlandsNorwayUSA (VII)NetherlandsMorocco (VII)NetherlandsChileNetherlandsNetherlandsGermanyGermanyNetherlandsGermanyNetherlandsNetherlandsGermanyGermanyNetherlandsGermanyNetherlandsGermanyNetherlandsGermanyNetherlandsGermanyNetherlandsNetherlandsGermanyNetherlandsGermanyNetherlandsGermany| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 |  Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | +3 | 10 |
| 3 |  France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 |  Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |  Switzerland | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | +7 | 9 |
| 6 |  Spain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | +6 | 9 |
| 7 | Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | +2 | 8 |
| 8 |  Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 8 |
| 9 |  Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | +4 | 8 |
| 10 |  Bosnia-Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | +3 | 8 |
| 11 |  Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Finland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:1 | +8 | 7 |
| 13 |  Malta | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Iceland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | +6 | 7 |
| 15 |  Slovakia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | +2 | 7 |
| 17 |  Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 7 |
| 18 |  Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 7 |
| 19 |  England | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | +8 | 6 |
| 20 |  Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 6 |
| 21 |  Albania | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 |
| 22 |  Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | +1 | 6 |
| 23 |  Azerbaijan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 24 |  Estonia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 25 |  Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
| 26 | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 5 |
| 27 |  Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | +2 | 5 |
| 28 |  Slovenia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 29 |  Lithuania | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 30 |  Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 31 |  Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 32 |  Belarus | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 |
| 33 |  Scotland | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 34 |  Moldova | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 35 |  Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | +3 | 4 |
| 36 |  Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 37 |  Luxembourg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 38 |  Croatia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:12 | -9 | 3 |
| 39 |  Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 40 |  Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 41 |  Gibraltar | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 42 |  Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 43 |  Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 44 |  Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
| 45 |  Liechtenstein | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 46 |  Andorra | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 47 |  Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 48 |  Bulgaria | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 49 |  North Macedonia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
| 50 |  San Marino | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:14 | -14 | 0 |
| 51 |  Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 |
| 52 |  Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
| 53 |  Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | -10 | 0 |
| 54 |  Turkey | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 0 |
Netherlands vs Germany Prediction (Sep 24)
Netherlands vs Germany prediction for the UEFA Nations League match on Sep 24 at 19:45 at Johan Cruijff Arena in Amsterdam. The odds and recent form suggest Netherlands are the narrow favorite, with a 38% chance of winning; the draw is at 32%, and Germanyโs win probability is 30%.
Team Form
Netherlands are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording three wins and two draws. Their recent run includes a 5-1 home win over Sweden, a 3-1 away win over Tunisia, and a 2-1 friendly win over Uzbekistan. In those five games they scored 13 goals and conceded 6.
Germanyโs last five results are three wins, one draw and one loss. They beat Curacao 7-1, Cote d'Ivoire 2-1 and USA 2-1 away, but drew 1-1 with Paraguay and lost 2-1 away to Ecuador. Germany also scored 13 goals and conceded 6 in this period, with the away defeat to Ecuador a key negative in this prediction.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head data from the match feed shows 1 Netherlands win, 6 draws and 4 Germany wins in all tracked meetings. In the most recent competitive UEFA Nations League fixture, Germany won 1-0 at home on Oct 14, 2024. Germany also won a friendly 2-1 in March 2024, while the last meeting in Amsterdam ended 1-1 in March 2022. This gives Germany a slight historical edge, but the large number of draws underlines how tight this fixture often is.
League Table Positions
The standings snapshot supplied for this UEFA Nations League campaign lists no played matches for any team. Germany is shown at rank 10 with 0 points, while Netherlands does not appear in the available table. As a result, league position offers no clear guide to this match, and the prediction relies more on form, H2H and odds.
Win Probability: Netherlands or Germany?
The calculated win probabilities are: Netherlands 38%, draw 32%, Germany 30%. These percentages are based on the average 1X2 odds of 2.34 for a Netherlands win, 2.46 for the draw and 2.95 for a Germany win. Removing the bookmaker margin yields baseline probabilities of 36.45% for the home win, 34.65% for the draw and 28.91% for the away win. We then adjusted for Netherlandsโ unbeaten five-match run and home advantage at Johan Cruijff Arena, while Germanyโs away loss to Ecuador and draw with Paraguay slightly reduce their away win chance. The conclusion is that Netherlands are the most likely winner, but the draw is a serious alternative.
Netherlands vs Germany Prediction: Odds & Betting Tips
The listed bookmaker odds for this match range from 2.20 to 2.52 for a Netherlands win, 2.40 to 2.56 for the draw, and 2.75 to 3.30 for a Germany win. For betting tips, the safest outright options are Netherlands win or draw, as the home sideโs form and venue give them a slight edge. Who will win? Based on the stats, the prediction is a narrow Netherlands victory, but a score draw is very possible given the H2H record of 6 draws in 11 meetings.
Total goals expectation is moderate: Netherlands and Germany both scored 13 and conceded 6 in their last five, so both teams scoring is a plausible secondary betting angle.
Netherlands vs Germany โ FAQ
- Who will win Netherlands vs Germany?
- Netherlands are the predicted winner with a 38% win probability. The draw is rated at 32%, and Germany have a 30% chance based on the supplied form, head-to-head record and odds.
- What is the win probability for Netherlands?
- Netherlands have a 38% chance of winning this UEFA Nations League match. This is derived from the average bookmaker odds and adjusted for their unbeaten home form.
- When is the Netherlands vs Germany match?
- The match is on Sep 24 at 19:45 at Johan Cruijff Arena in Amsterdam, in the UEFA Nations League.
- What are the odds for Netherlands vs Germany?
- The 1X2 odds across listed bookmakers range from 2.20 to 2.52 for Netherlands, 2.40 to 2.56 for the draw, and 2.75 to 3.30 for Germany.
- What is the head-to-head record between Netherlands and Germany?
- The head-to-head record shows 1 Netherlands win, 6 draws and 4 Germany wins. Germany won the most recent UEFA Nations League meeting 1-0 in 2024.