Serbia - Germany prediction 13 November 2026
Serbia
Germany
NetherlandsSerbiaGermanySerbiaSerbiaNetherlandsSerbiaGreeceMexicoSerbiaCape VerdeSerbiaSaudi ArabiaSerbiaSerbiaSaudi ArabiaSpainSerbiaSerbiaAustriaAustriaSerbiaSerbiaDenmarkSwitzerlandSerbiaSpainSerbiaSerbiaSwitzerlandGreeceGermanyGermanySerbiaGermanyGreeceNetherlandsGermanyGermanyParaguayEcuadorGermanyGermanyCote d'IvoireGermanyCuracaoUSAGermanyGermanyFinlandGermanyGhanaSwitzerlandGermanyGermanyFranceGermanyPortugalGermanyItaly| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8.00 | 2.88 | 1.60 | |
| 9.70 | 2.88 | 1.52 | |
| 6.00 | 5.20 | 1.21 |
- 71Aleksa Terzicdefender
- 5Aleksandar Stankovicmidfielder
- 14Andrija Zivkovicmidfielder
- 10Dusan Tadicmidfielder
- 10Lazar Samardzicmidfielder
- 18Mihajlo Cvetkovicforward
- 13Nikola Simicdefender
- 15Srdjan Babicdefender
- 16Strahinja Erakovicdefender
- 31Strahinja Pavlovicdefender
- 22Vanja Dragojevicmidfielder
- 32Vanja Milinkoviฤ-Saviฤgoalkeeper
- 9Dejan Joveljiฤ
- 1Dragan Rosic
- 11Filip Kostic
- 1Filip Stankovic
- 18Kosta Nedeljkovic
- 9Luka Joviฤ
- Ognjen Mimovic
- 19Stefan Gudelj
- Aleksandar Pavlovicmidfielder
- 22David Raumdefender
- 9Derry Scherhantforward
- 17Florian Wirtzmidfielder
- 1Jonas Urbiggoalkeeper
- Lennart Karlmidfielder
- 2Malick Thiawdefender
- 27Nick Woltemadeforward
- 13Philipp Treudefender
- 8Tom Bischofmidfielder
- 23Vitaly Janeltmidfielder
- 3Waldemar Antondefender
- Bambasรฉ Contรฉ
- 16Ridle Baku
- 20Felix Keidel
- 12Finn Dahmen
- Finn Jeltsch
- 10Jonathan Burkardt
- Maximilian Mittelstรคdt
- 22Mika Baur
- 21Noah Atubolu
- 7Said El Mala
- 6Yannik Engelhardt
GermanySerbiaGermanySerbia| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 |  Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | +3 | 10 |
| 3 |  France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 |  Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |  Switzerland | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | +7 | 9 |
| 6 |  Spain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | +6 | 9 |
| 7 |  Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | +2 | 8 |
| 8 |  Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 8 |
| 9 |  Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | +4 | 8 |
| 10 |  Bosnia-Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | +3 | 8 |
| 11 |  Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Finland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:1 | +8 | 7 |
| 13 |  Malta | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Iceland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | +6 | 7 |
| 15 |  Slovakia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | +2 | 7 |
| 17 |  Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 7 |
| 18 |  Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 7 |
| 19 |  England | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | +8 | 6 |
| 20 |  Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 6 |
| 21 |  Albania | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 |
| 22 |  Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | +1 | 6 |
| 23 |  Azerbaijan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 24 |  Estonia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 25 |  Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
| 26 | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 5 |
| 27 |  Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | +2 | 5 |
| 28 |  Slovenia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 29 |  Lithuania | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 30 |  Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 31 |  Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 32 |  Belarus | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 |
| 33 |  Scotland | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 34 |  Moldova | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 35 |  Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | +3 | 4 |
| 36 |  Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 37 |  Luxembourg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 38 |  Croatia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:12 | -9 | 3 |
| 39 |  Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 40 |  Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 41 |  Gibraltar | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 42 |  Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 43 |  Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 44 |  Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
| 45 |  Liechtenstein | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 46 |  Andorra | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 47 |  Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 48 |  Bulgaria | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 49 |  North Macedonia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
| 50 |  San Marino | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:14 | -14 | 0 |
| 51 | Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 |
| 52 |  Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
| 53 |  Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | -10 | 0 |
| 54 |  Turkey | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 0 |
Germany vs Serbia Prediction (Oct 1)
The Germany vs Serbia prediction for this UEFA Nations League clash on October 1, 2026, at 19:45 points towards a comfortable home win. Based on our win probability analysis, Germany has a 72% chance of winning, the draw is at 18%, and Serbia has a 10% chance. The match at the Allianz Arena in Munich sees the hosts as heavy favorites according to bookmakers and recent form data.
Team Form
Germany's recent form has been inconsistent, with a record of one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. Their most recent outing was a 0-1 home loss to Greece in the UEFA Nations League on September 27. Before that, they drew 1-1 away to the Netherlands on September 24. In the World Cup, they drew 1-1 with Paraguay, lost 2-1 to Ecuador, and beat Cote d'Ivoire 2-1.
Serbia's form is even more concerning, with four losses and just one win in their last five. They lost 1-2 at home to the Netherlands on September 27 and 1-2 at home to Greece on September 24. Friendly defeats to Mexico (5-1) and Cape Verde (3-0) preceded a 2-1 win away to Saudi Arabia on March 31.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record is limited to a single previous meeting. In a Friendly International on March 20, 2019, Serbia beat Germany 3-11 in a remarkable result. Germany have 0 wins, Serbia have 1 win, and there have been 0 draws. This historical data point is an outlier, and current squad strength and home advantage heavily favor Germany.
League Table Positions
Neither Germany nor Serbia appear in the top 12 of the current UEFA Nations League overall standings. The table is led by Montenegro, Greece, and France, all on 6 points from 2 matches. The absence of both teams from the leading pack suggests they have ground to make up, but Germany's pedigree and home form give them a significant edge in this fixture.
Win Probability: Germany or Serbia?
Our calculated win probability for this match is: Germany win 72%, draw 18%, Serbia win 10%. This is derived from the average bookmaker odds (1.24 home, 3.53 draw, 8.36 away), which imply a 78% chance for Germany after removing the margin. We have adjusted this down slightly to account for Germany's patchy recent form (W1 D2 L2) and Serbia's lone head-to-head victory, while still heavily weighting the home advantage at the Allianz Arena and the gulf in squad quality. Serbia's four losses in five matches, including heavy defeats to Mexico and Cape Verde, make an away win highly unlikely. Germany has a 72% chance of winning, the draw is at 18%, and Serbia has a 10% chance.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Germany as the clear favorite. The best available odds from the data show a home win at 1.22, a draw at 6.56, and an away win for Serbia at 13.50. These odds reflect a strong market expectation of a German victory. Based on the stats, form, and home advantage, the prediction is a Germany win. The value in the betting tips may lie in the correct score or total goals markets, but the match outcome points firmly to the hosts.
Germany vs Serbia โ FAQ
- Who will win Germany vs Serbia?
- Based on our analysis, Germany has a 72% chance of winning, the draw is at 18%, and Serbia has a 10% chance. Germany are the strong favorites due to home advantage and Serbia's poor recent form.
- What is the win probability for Germany?
- Germany has a 72% win probability. This is calculated from bookmaker odds and adjusted for their recent form of one win, two draws, and two losses, along with their home match at the Allianz Arena.
- When is the Germany vs Serbia match?
- The match is on October 1, 2026, at 19:45 local time. It is a UEFA Nations League fixture being played at the Allianz Arena in Munich.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The available odds show a Germany home win as low as 1.22, a draw at up to 6.56, and a Serbia away win as high as 13.50. These odds indicate a very high probability of a Germany victory according to bookmakers.