Germany Women - Japan Women prediction 13 October 2026

Our Germany Women vs Japan Women prediction takes a close look at the Friendly International Women match on Oct 13, with bookmakers and win probability pointing to Germany Women as the clear favorite. Based on odds, form, and head-to-head data, Germany Women have a 50% chance of winning, the draw stands at 30%, and Japan Women have a 20% chance.

Team Form

Germany Women are enjoying a strong run with a record of W-W-W-D-W in their last five matches across all competitions. The highlights include a convincing 4-2 friendly win over Australia Women on Oct 9, and a 2-0 World Cup qualifying victory against Norway Women in June. The only blemish was a 0-0 draw at Austria Women in April. At home, they have been dominant, winning three of the last four and scoring 11 goals in those victories.

Japan Women, on the other hand, have a mixed W-L-W-L-W form line over the same period. They thrashed Haiti Women 5-1 away on Oct 9, but fell to a 0-1 home loss to South Africa Women in June and were beaten 0-3 by the USA Women in April. Their away form has been inconsistent, with two big wins and two defeats in the last four road matches.

Head-to-Head Record

The only previous meeting between Germany Women and Japan Women was a Friendly International Women match on Apr 9, 2019, which ended in a 2-2 draw in Germany. This lone H2H suggests a closely matched contest historically, but the current form strongly favors the hosts. Germany Women will look to turn that draw into a win on home soil.

Win Probability: Germany Women or Japan Women?

Based on the latest odds, recent results, and home advantage, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Germany Women win: 50%, Draw: 30%, Japan Women win: 20%. Bookmakers’ odds (average 1.80 for a home win) imply a raw probability of 55.6% before margin removal; after normalizing, it’s around 45%. Germany’s superb form (4W1D) and home pitch push that figure to 50%. Japan’s away record of 3W2L and the only H2H draw leave them with a 20% upset chance. The draw at 30% reflects both teams’ ability to share points, as seen in 2019.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers are unanimous in making Germany Women the favorites for this Friendly International Women clash. The home win is priced as low as 1.73 with some firms, while others offer up to 1.80. The draw trades around 2.50 to 3.78, and a Japan Women victory can be found between 3.40 and 4.03. Our Germany Women vs Japan Women prediction leans toward the home win; with a 50% probability, it represents reasonable value compared to the roughly 45% fair odds. The safest betting tip is to back a Germany Women victory, but the risk of a draw cannot be overlooked given the 2019 result. We predict a victory for Germany Women based on the stats.