Mahar Sagaing United FC - GFA Chinland prediction 9 October 2026
Mahar Sagaing United FC
GFA Chinland
Yangon Royals FCMahar Sagaing United FCMahar Sagaing United FCDagon Star UnitedMahar Sagaing United FCGFA ChinlandIspe FCMahar Sagaing United FCYangon UnitedMahar Sagaing United FCMahar Sagaing United FCAyeyawady UnitedShan United FCMahar Sagaing United FCMahar Sagaing United FCDagon Star UnitedMahar Sagaing United FCYangon UnitedHantharwady UnitedMahar Sagaing United FCRakhine UnitedMahar Sagaing United FCMahar Sagaing United FCThitsar ArmanYarmanya United FCMahar Sagaing United FCMahar Sagaing United FCIspe FCDagon Port FC YangonMahar Sagaing United FCGFA ChinlandMyawady FCGFA ChinlandYangon Royals FCMahar Sagaing United FCGFA ChinlandGFA ChinlandYangon UnitedGFA ChinlandYadanarbonMahar Sagaing United FCGFA ChinlandMyawady FCGFA ChinlandGFA ChinlandDagon Star UnitedRakhine UnitedGFA ChinlandGFA ChinlandAyeyawady UnitedGFA ChinlandKachin UnitedGFA ChinlandShan United FCGFA ChinlandHantharwady UnitedIspe FCGFA ChinlandYadanarbonGFA ChinlandMahar Sagaing United FCGFA ChinlandMahar Sagaing United FCGFA ChinlandGFA ChinlandMahar Sagaing United FCGFA ChinlandMahar Sagaing United FCGFA ChinlandMahar Sagaing United FCGFA ChinlandMahar Sagaing United FCGFA ChinlandMahar Sagaing United FC| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dagon Star United | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:4 | +10 | 13 |
| 2 |  Yangon Royals FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | +4 | 11 |
| 3 |  Yadanarbon | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | +6 | 10 |
| 4 |  Shan United FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | +6 | 7 |
| 5 |  Yangon United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | +5 | 6 |
| 6 |  Thitsar Arman | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 5 |
| 7 | GFA Chinland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 4 |
| 8 |  Ispe FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 4 |
| 9 |  Hantharwady United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 10 | Mahar Sagaing United FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 4 |
| 11 |  Ayeyawady United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
| 12 |  Myawady FC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:13 | -10 | 1 |
GFA Chinland vs Mahar Sagaing United FC Prediction (Oct 9)
GFA Chinland vs Mahar Sagaing United FC prediction: The National League match on Oct 9 sees Mahar Sagaing United FC as the clear favourite based on form, head-to-head record and odds. Our win probability model gives the home side a 60% chance of winning.
Team Form
Mahar Sagaing United FCโs recent form has been mixed, with two wins and three losses in their last five matches. They beat Ispe FC 4-2 and Ayeyawady United 2-1, but lost to Yangon United, Shan United FC, and Dagon Star United. The side has shown they can score, but defensive frailties are evident.
GFA Chinland are in dreadful form, losing all of their last five matches. They conceded 5 goals against Yangon United, 2 against Yadanarbon, and 4 against both Myawady FC and Dagon Star United. With only 2 goals in those games, their attack has also struggled.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record heavily favours Mahar Sagaing United FC. In six previous meetings, Mahar Sagaing United have won twice, with four draws. GFA Chinland have never beaten Mahar Sagaing United. The most recent encounter on Dec 14, 2023, ended 3-1 to Mahar Sagaing United. The only time GFA Chinland hosted, they lost 3-5. This dominance gives the visitors a strong psychological edge.
League Table Positions
In the National League table, Mahar Sagaing United FC sit 5th with 3 points from 2 games (goal difference 0). GFA Chinland are bottom in 12th with 0 points from 2 games and a goal difference of -5, having conceded 7 goals. The gap in quality and momentum is significant.
Win Probability: GFA Chinland or Mahar Sagaing United?
Based on the available odds (1.62 for a Mahar Sagaing United win, 4.05 for the draw, 3.80 for a GFA Chinland victory), implied probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin are roughly 55% for a home win, 22% for the draw, and 23% for an away win. However, factoring in recent form, head-to-head dominance and league positions, we adjust the true probabilities to: Mahar Sagaing United FC win 60%, draw 22%, GFA Chinland win 18%. GFA Chinlandโs five-match losing run and historical struggles against this opponent drastically reduce their chances.
Odds & Match Prediction
The current odds are Mahar Sagaing United to win at 1.62, the draw at 4.05, and GFA Chinland to win at 3.80. Bookmakers see Mahar Sagaing United as the strong favourite, and the stats back that up. Based on the data, the most likely outcome is a Mahar Sagaing United FC victory. Backing them to win offers reasonable value, while a draw or GFA Chinland win appear far less probable given the teamsโ respective form and history.
GFA Chinland vs Mahar Sagaing United โ FAQ
- Who will win GFA Chinland vs Mahar Sagaing United?
- Mahar Sagaing United FC are the favourites to win, with a 60% probability. GFA Chinland have only an 18% chance, while a draw stands at 22%. This is based on head-to-head superiority, better league standing and GFA Chinlandโs poor losing streak.
- What is the win probability for Mahar Sagaing United?
- Mahar Sagaing United have a 60% chance of winning. This figure reflects the teamโs favourable odds (1.62), their unbeaten record against GFA Chinland in six meetings, and GFA Chinlandโs five consecutive defeats.
- When is the GFA Chinland vs Mahar Sagaing United match?
- The match takes place on Oct 9, 2026, at 10:00 (local time). It is a fixture in the Myanmar National League.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The current odds are: Mahar Sagaing United to win at 1.62, the draw at 4.05, and GFA Chinland to win at 3.80. These odds imply Mahar Sagaing United are clear favourites.