Liechtenstein - Gibraltar prediction 5 October 2026

Liechtenstein vs Gibraltar prediction for October 5, 2026, in the Friendly International. Based on the available 1X2 odds, team form and head-to-head record, Gibraltar are the slight favorite with a 39% win probability, while Liechtenstein have 26% and the draw is 35%.

Team Form

Liechtenstein enter this match in poor form. Their last five results are D, L, L, L, L.

• Oct 1: Azerbaijan 0-0 Liechtenstein
• Sep 27: Malta 2-0 Liechtenstein
• Sep 24: Liechtenstein 0-2 Lithuania
• Jun 7: Liechtenstein 0-2 Cyprus
• Jun 4: Andorra 2-0 Liechtenstein

Across these five matches, Liechtenstein scored zero goals.

Gibraltar are unbeaten in their last five matches with results D, D, D, W, W.

• Oct 1: Malta 1-1 Gibraltar
• Sep 27: Gibraltar 0-0 Andorra
• Sep 23: Gibraltar 0-0 Sao Tome and Principe
• Jun 6: Gibraltar 4-1 Cayman Islands
• Jun 3: Gibraltar 4-0 British Virgin Islands

This run gives Gibraltar better momentum than Liechtenstein.

Head-to-Head Record

The full head-to-head record favors Gibraltar: Liechtenstein have 3 wins, Gibraltar have 6 wins, and there have been 2 draws. In the last five meetings available in the data, Gibraltar won 2, Liechtenstein won 1, and 2 ended level. The most recent meeting was a 0-0 UEFA Nations League draw on Oct 13 2024, with Liechtenstein as the home side. Notable recent results include a 2-0 Gibraltar win in a 2022 friendly and a 1-1 UEFA Nations League draw in 2020.

League Table Positions

No league table positions are provided for this Friendly International fixture, so the win probability and prediction are built from odds, recent form, head-to-head results and the home/away factor.

Win Probability: Liechtenstein or Gibraltar?

Using the six 1X2 odds in the source data, the average prices are about 3.05 for Liechtenstein, 2.17 for the draw and 2.93 for Gibraltar. Normalizing the inverse odds removes the bookmaker margin and gives a base of roughly 29% Liechtenstein, 41% draw and 30% Gibraltar.

Recent form and head-to-head records push the numbers toward Gibraltar. Liechtenstein have lost four of five and failed to score in that run, while Gibraltar are unbeaten in five and own a 6-3 head-to-head lead. The final win probability is therefore: Liechtenstein 26%, draw 35%, Gibraltar 39%. Gibraltar are the most likely winner, but the draw is also a strong outcome.

Liechtenstein vs Gibraltar Prediction: Odds & Match Outcome

The 1X2 match odds range from 2.90 to 3.44 for Liechtenstein, 1.78 to 2.92 for the draw, and 2.38 to 3.30 for Gibraltar. Most bookmakers price the draw short at 1.78–1.83, although two lines are more balanced and quote Gibraltar at 2.38–2.64.

Based on the stats, the best match outcome prediction is Gibraltar to win or draw, combining at 74%. Liechtenstein’s scoring drought and Gibraltar’s unbeaten run make a Liechtenstein win less likely, so the safer betting angle is Gibraltar double chance. A low total goals profile is also reasonable because Liechtenstein have not scored in five matches.