Gifu - Sagamihara prediction 21 October 2026
Gifu
Sagamihara
Roasso KumamotoGifuGifuSagamiharaGifuFukushima United FCGainare TottoriGifuGifuRenofa YamaguchiGifuYokohama FCKamatamare SanukiGifuNagano ParceiroGifuNaraGifuGifuZweigen KanazawaGifuTokushima VortisGifuTochigi SCKagoshima UnitedGifuGifuKochi United SCReilac Shiga FCGifuSagamiharaTochigi SCGifuSagamiharaReilac Shiga FCSagamiharaSagamiharaKamatamare SanukiSagamiharaFC OsakaRenofa YamaguchiSagamiharaSagamiharaGiravanz KitakyushuMatsumoto YamagaSagamiharaSagamiharaNagano ParceiroSagamiharaJubilo IwataFC RyukyuSagamiharaSagamiharaZweigen KanazawaTheSpa Kusatsu GunmaSagamiharaSagamiharaRoasso KumamotoSagamiharaRoasso KumamotoGifuSagamiharaSagamiharaGifuGifuSagamiharaSagamiharaGifuGifuSagamiharaSagamiharaGifuSagamiharaGifuGifuSagamiharaGifuSagamiharaGifuSagamiharaSagamiharaGifu| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kagoshima United | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 27:16 | +11 | 29 |
| 2 |  Ehime FC | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 28:15 | +13 | 26 |
| 3 |  FC Osaka | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23:13 | +10 | 23 |
| 4 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17:9 | +8 | 23 |
| 5 |  Nara | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23:21 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 | Gifu | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 23:11 | +12 | 22 |
| 7 | Sagamihara | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21:14 | +7 | 22 |
| 8 |  Roasso Kumamoto | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 13:6 | +7 | 20 |
| 9 |  FC Ryukyu | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16:15 | +1 | 20 |
| 10 |  Nagano Parceiro | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 |  Zweigen Kanazawa | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:18 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 |  Matsumoto Yamaga | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 |  Reilac Shiga FC | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 |  Tochigi SC | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
| 15 |  Gainare Tottori | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:23 | -10 | 14 |
| 16 |  Giravanz Kitakyushu | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 13 |
| 17 |  TheSpa Kusatsu Gunma | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12:22 | -10 | 13 |
| 18 |  Fukushima United FC | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 11 |
| 19 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 15:25 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 |  Kochi United SC | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5:28 | -23 | 5 |
Gifu vs Sagamihara Prediction (Oct 21)
The Gifu vs Sagamihara prediction for this J3 League clash on Oct 21 at 11:00 points towards a tight contest where Gifu holds a slight edge. Based on our win probability analysis, Gifu has a 43% chance of winning, while Sagamihara sits at 32%, and the draw is a significant 25% possibility.
Team Form
Gifu's recent form has been a mixed bag, recording three wins and two losses in their last five outings (W, W, L, L, W). Their most recent match was a solid 1-0 home victory against Fukushima United FC on Oct 17. They have shown they can score, netting 21 goals in 11 league games, but have also been inconsistent.
Sagamihara arrives in better shape, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five (W, W, W, D, L). They are coming off a convincing 2-0 away win against Reilac Shiga FC on Oct 18. This strong run has propelled them to 5th in the table with 20 goals scored, just one point and one position ahead of Gifu.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record heavily favors Gifu. In their last 10 meetings, Gifu has won 4, Sagamihara has won just 1, and there have been 5 draws. The most recent encounter was a dominant 5-0 away victory for Gifu on Sep 13, 2025. The match before that, on Jul 6, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw at Gifu's ground. This history suggests Gifu knows how to get results against this opponent.
League Table Positions
This is a clash between two closely matched sides in the J3 League. Sagamihara sits 5th with 21 points from 11 games (6 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). Gifu is right behind them in 6th place with 19 points (6 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses). Gifu boasts a slightly better defensive record, conceding only 10 goals to Sagamihara's 12, but the away side's recent form gives them momentum.
Win Probability: Gifu or Sagamihara?
After analyzing the available odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league standings, we have calculated the win probabilities for this match. The odds imply a home win is the most likely single outcome, but the market also sees a high chance of a stalemate. Adjusting for Gifu's historical dominance in this fixture and home advantage against Sagamihara's superior recent form, we arrive at the following conclusion: Gifu has a 43% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Sagamihara has a 32% chance.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers have priced Gifu as the favorite, with the best available home win odds around 2.15. The draw is offered at a high of 3.63, and an away win for Sagamihara can be found at 3.60. These odds reflect the competitive nature of this fixture. Our Gifu vs Sagamihara prediction is that while Gifu is the most likely winner based on the stats and H2H record, Sagamihara's strong form makes them a dangerous opponent. The value might lie in the draw market, given the 25% calculated probability and the high odds available.
Gifu vs Sagamihara โ FAQ
- Who will win Gifu vs Sagamihara?
- Based on our analysis, Gifu is the most likely winner with a 43% probability. Sagamihara has a 32% chance of winning, and the probability of a draw is 25%. Gifu's strong head-to-head record gives them the edge.
- What is the win probability for Gifu?
- Gifu has a 43% chance of winning this match. This is based on their home advantage, a dominant historical record against Sagamihara (4 wins in the last 10 meetings), and bookmaker odds that list them as the favorite.
- When is the Gifu vs Sagamihara match?
- The match between Gifu and Sagamihara is scheduled for Oct 21, 2026, with kick-off at 11:00 local time. It is a J3 League fixture in Japan.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The best available pre-match odds are 2.15 for a Gifu win, 3.63 for a draw, and 3.60 for a Sagamihara win. These odds show that bookmakers see Gifu as the favorite, but the contest is expected to be close.