UD Leiria U23 - Gil Vicente U23 prediction 21 September 2026
UD Leiria U23
Gil Vicente U23UD Leiria U23
SCU Torreense U23Farense U23UD Leiria U23UD Leiria U23Santa Clara U23UD Leiria U23Gil Vicente U23UD Leiria U23Benfica U23Estrela Amadora U23UD Leiria U23UD Leiria U23Maritimo U23Leixoes U23UD Leiria U23Sporting Lisbon U23UD Leiria U23UD Leiria U23Rio Ave U23Vizela U23UD Leiria U23UD Leiria U23Portimonense U23Estoril Praia U23UD Leiria U23UD Leiria U23Farense U23UD Leiria U23Maritimo U23Moreirense U23Gil Vicente U23Sporting Lisbon U23Gil Vicente U23Gil Vicente U23Vizela U23UD Leiria U23Gil Vicente U23Gil Vicente U23Portimonense U23Maritimo U23Gil Vicente U23Gil Vicente U23Rio Ave U23Sporting Braga U23Gil Vicente U23Gil Vicente U23Academico Viseu U23Estoril Praia U23Gil Vicente U23Santa Clara U23Gil Vicente U23Gil Vicente U23Santa Clara U23Leixoes U23Gil Vicente U23Gil Vicente U23Leixoes U23Famalicao U23Gil Vicente U23UD Leiria U23Gil Vicente U23UD Leiria U23Gil Vicente U23Gil Vicente U23UD Leiria U23| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sporting Lisbon U23 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:10 | +7 | 18 |
| 2 |  Academico Viseu U23 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:11 | +5 | 18 |
| 3 |  Estoril Praia U23 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 19:14 | +5 | 17 |
| 4 |  Rio Ave U23 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14:7 | +7 | 16 |
| 5 |  Felgueiras 1932 U23 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:11 | +5 | 15 |
| 6 |  Sporting Braga U23 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:16 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  Famalicao U23 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:16 | 0 | 14 |
| 8 |  Vizela U23 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | +1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Moreirense U23 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 18:10 | +8 | 12 |
| 10 |  Farense U23 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 |  Benfica U23 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 | UD Leiria U23 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 |  Leixoes U23 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17:15 | +2 | 10 |
| 14 |  Santa Clara U23 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6:11 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 |  Penafiel U23 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 9 |
| 16 |  SCU Torreense U23 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 9 |
| 17 | Gil Vicente U23 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 |  Maritimo U23 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 6 |
| 19 |  Estrela Amadora U23 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 6 |
| 20 |  Portimonense U23 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 4 |
UD Leiria U23 vs Gil Vicente U23 Prediction (Sep 21)
UD Leiria U23 vs Gil Vicente U23 prediction for the Championship U23 match on Sep 21, 2026, at 15:00. Based on the head-to-head record and recent form, Gil Vicente U23 enters as the slight favorite with a 38% win probability, while the home side UD Leiria U23 has a 32% chance and a draw is priced at 30%.
Team Form
UD Leiria U23 have two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches (L, L, W, W, D). At home, they recently lost 1-2 to Benfica U23 but beat Maritimo U23 2-0. Gil Vicente U23 have one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five (W, D, L, L, L). They lost 0-2 at home to Rio Ave U23 and away to Sporting Braga U23 0-1, with a 2-0 win over Portimonense U23 their only bright spot.
Head-to-Head Record
These teams have met twice in the Championship U23, with Gil Vicente U23 winning both encounters. On Mar 03, 2026, Gil Vicente U23 won 2-3 away at UD Leiria U23, and on Jan 10, 2026, they secured a 3-1 home win. UD Leiria U23 are yet to record a victory in this fixture.
League Table Positions
In the overall Championship U23 standings, UD Leiria U23 are 10th with 7 points from 5 matches (2W, 1D, 2L). Gil Vicente U23 are not in the top 12, suggesting they sit lower in the table with a less favorable record.
Win Probability: UD Leiria U23 or Gil Vicente U23?
After adjusting the bookmaker odds for margin and considering form and head-to-head results, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: UD Leiria U23 โ 32%, draw โ 30%, Gil Vicente U23 โ 38%. The away sideโs perfect H2H record (2 wins) tips the scales in their favor, but the home field and slightly better recent form of UD Leiria U23 keep the match extremely close.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers offer a home win at 2.69, a draw at 3.50, and an away win at 2.47 (sample odds from one bookmaker). These odds imply a near-equal chance. Gil Vicente U23 is the marginal favorite on the road. Based on the stats, the safest bet might be a Double Chance on the away side, but the draw is also a strong possibility. Our prediction: Gil Vicente U23 to win, but only by a narrow margin.
UD Leiria U23 vs Gil Vicente U23 โ FAQ
- Who will win UD Leiria U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?
- According to our win probability analysis, Gil Vicente U23 has a 38% chance, UD Leiria U23 a 32% chance, and the draw a 30% chance. The visitors hold a slight edge thanks to a perfect head-to-head record of two wins in two meetings.
- What is the win probability for Gil Vicente U23?
- Gil Vicente U23 has a 38% chance to win the match. This probability is based on bookmaker odds, the teamโs 2-0 head-to-head advantage, and recent form, but the match remains closely contested.
- When is the UD Leiria U23 vs Gil Vicente U23 match?
- The match takes place on Sep 21, 2026, at 15:00 local time, in the Championship U23 league in Portugal.
- What are the odds for UD Leiria U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?
- One bookmaker lists the odds as: UD Leiria U23 win โ 2.69, draw โ 3.50, Gil Vicente U23 win โ 2.47. These odds vary slightly across different bookmakers, but Gil Vicente U23 is priced as the nominal favorite.
- What is the head-to-head record between UD Leiria U23 and Gil Vicente U23?
- The teams have faced each other twice in the Championship U23, with Gil Vicente U23 winning both games. The scorelines were 2-3 away win on Mar 03, 2026, and 3-1 home win on Jan 10, 2026.