CA Huracan - Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata prediction 16 October 2026

The CA Huracan vs Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata prediction for October 16, 2026, points to a tight Primera Division contest at Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó. Based on our analysis of odds, team form, and head-to-head stats, the draw has a 45% probability, while CA Huracan holds a 35% chance of winning and Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata a 20% chance.

Team Form

CA Huracan come into this match with solid recent form, recording three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five outings (L, W, W, W, D). They suffered a 2-0 defeat at Barracas Central on October 10 but previously beat Aldosivi 1-0 at home, won 2-1 at River Plate, and edged Racing Club Avellaneda 2-1 at home. A 1-1 draw at CA Belgrano de Cordoba rounds out the sequence, showing they are competitive both home and away.

Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata, on the other hand, have drawn four of their last five matches (D, D, D, D, W). Their most recent result was a 1-1 home draw with Atletico Tucuman on October 9. Before that, they drew 1-1 at Independiente Rivadavia, 2-2 at home to Banfield, and 1-1 at Argentinos Juniors. The only win in this stretch was a 2-1 home victory over Tigre on September 5. While hard to beat, Gimnasia have struggled to turn draws into wins.

Head-to-Head Record

In 11 previous meetings, CA Huracan have won 3, Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata 2, and 6 ended in draws. The most recent clash on April 5, 2026, saw Gimnasia lose 0-3 at home to CA Huracan. The fixture before that, on November 1, 2024, finished 0-0. Historically, this matchup heavily favors the draw, and CA Huracan have had the upper hand in the last encounter.

League Table Positions

Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata sit 10th in the Primera Division overall standings with 26 points from 16 matches (8 wins, 2 draws, 6 losses). Their away form is respectable: they rank 8th in the away table with 13 points from 8 road games (4 wins, 1 draw, 3 defeats). CA Huracan are outside the top 12 in the league table, indicating a lower position, but their recent home performances have been strong.

Win Probability: CA Huracan or Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata?

We calculated the outcome probabilities by taking the average bookmaker odds (home 2.39, draw 1.77, away 3.50), converting to implied chances, and then adjusting for team form, head-to-head trends, and home advantage. The result: CA Huracan win – 35%, draw – 45%, Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata win – 20%. The high draw percentage reflects both the historical H2H record (6 draws in 11 games) and Gimnasia's recent run of four draws in five matches. CA Huracan's superior recent form and home field give them a better chance than the visitors if a winner emerges.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see the draw as the most likely outcome, with average odds around 1.77. A CA Huracan victory is priced at approximately 2.39, while a Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata away win sits at 3.50. Based on the stats, the match is expected to be tight and low-scoring. Our CA Huracan vs Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata prediction is a draw, but if either side nicks it, CA Huracan are the more probable winners.