Gimnasia Y Esgrima La Plata Women vs Satsaid Social Atletico Television Women prediction for the Primera A Women match on Sep 28, 2026, at 13:00. Based on recent form, head-to-head record, and odds, Satsaid Social Atletico Television Women is the favorite with a 45% win probability, while Gimnasia Y Esgrima La Plata Women has a 20% chance.
Gimnasia Y Esgrima La Plata Women enter this match with only one win from their last five outings. They beat Newells Old Boys Women (1-0) on Sep 18 but previously lost 0-4 at home to Racing Club Women, 0-2 at San Lorenzo de Almagro Women, 1-2 at home to Talleres Cordoba Women, and 0-2 at Ferro Carril Oeste Women. That run of four defeats in five games points to defensive issues.
Satsaid Social Atletico Television Women's recent form is much stronger. Their last five results are: a 2-0 loss at San Luis Women, a 0-0 home draw with Newells Old Boys Women, a 3-1 away win over Union de Santa Fe Women, a 1-0 home win over Racing Club Women, and a 2-0 away win at CA Independiente Women. That is three wins in the last five with clean sheets in three of those games.
The two sides met once before, on Jun 19, 2026, in the Primera A Women. That match ended in a 1-1 draw, with Gimnasia as the home team. The single head-to-head result gives no clear edge to either side.
We calculate the match outcome probabilities based on the odds (inverse and normalized, then adjusted for team form, head-to-head, and the home advantage of Satsaid). The win probability for Satsaid Social Atletico Television Women is 45%, the draw is at 35%, and Gimnasia Y Esgrima La Plata Women has a 20% chance. Satsaid's stronger recent form (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss vs Gimnasia's 1 win, 4 losses) and the home factor tilt the numbers in their favour.
Bookmakers have released varying 1X2 odds for this fixture. Some set Satsaid's home win at 2.45, the draw at 1.95โ2.00, and an away Gimnasia win at 4.40โ4.50. Another odds provider lists a much shorter 1.65 for the home win, a 3.25 draw, and 5.00 for an away victory. These odds indicate that the market favours Satsaid, even if the implied probabilities differ. Our final prediction aligns with that view: Satsaid is the more likely winner, with a draw also a strong possibility given the 35% chance. For betting tips, Satsaid to win or a double chance on the home side are supported by the stats and odds analysis.