Polonia Bielany Wroclawskie - GKS Mirkow/Dlugoleka prediction 18 September 2026

This Polonia Bielany Wroclawskie vs GKS Mirkow/Dlugoleka prediction looks ahead to the IV Liga match on Sep 18, 2026, at 16:00. Based on our analysis, the home side holds a narrow edge with a 34% win probability, while GKS Mirkow/Dlugoleka has a 33% chance and the draw also sits at 33%.

Team Form

Polonia Bielany Wroclawskie last played on Aug 01, 2026, defeating Prochowiczanka Prochowice 2-1. That victory, their only recent result in the available data, shows a team that can perform at home.

GKS Mirkow/Dlugoleka’s recent form paints a mixed picture. Over the last five matches, they recorded one win, two draws, and two losses. Their most recent outing on Sep 11 was a 3-4 home defeat to Orzel Zabkowice Slaskie. Before that, they drew 1-1 with Lechia Dzierzoniow (Aug 19) and lost 1-2 to Gornik Zlotoryja (Aug 08). A 2-0 away win at Luzyce Luban (May 15) and a 1-1 home draw against Piast Nowa Ruda (Apr 04) complete the sequence. This inconsistency makes them hard to trust as favourites.

Head-to-Head Record

According to available data, Polonia Bielany Wroclawskie and GKS Mirkow/Dlugoleka have never met before. This is their first head-to-head encounter, so no historical trends can be used.

Win Probability: Polonia Bielany Wroclawskie or GKS Mirkow/Dlugoleka?

We started with the bookmaker odds: Polonia Bielany Wroclawskie 2.88, Draw 2.60, GKS Mirkow/Dlugoleka 2.62. The inverse implied probabilities were 34.7%, 38.5%, and 38.2% respectively, but after removing the margin, the base chances become approximately 31.2% (home), 34.5% (draw), and 34.3% (away). Adjusting for the home team’s winning form and GKS Mirkow/Dlugoleka’s inconsistent results, we shifted probabilities slightly towards Polonia. Our final win probabilities for this Polonia Bielany Wroclawskie vs GKS Mirkow/Dlugoleka match are: Polonia Bielany Wroclawskie win – 34%, Draw – 33%, GKS Mirkow/Dlugoleka win – 33%. The home side is a marginal favourite, but the margin is razor-thin; a draw is almost equally likely.

Odds & Match Prediction

The 1X2 odds (Polonia 2.88, Draw 2.60, GKS 2.62) confirm that bookmakers see this as a very even contest. The low draw price indicates expectations of a tight, perhaps low-scoring affair. This Polonia Bielany Wroclawskie vs GKS Mirkow/Dlugoleka prediction leans slightly towards the home team, mainly because of their last result and the familiar surroundings. Bettors looking for value might consider a home win or a draw no bet on Polonia Bielany Wroclawskie, but the safest assessment is that the match could go any way. Based on the stats, Polonia Bielany Wroclawskie has a slightly better chance than GKS Mirkow/Dlugoleka to claim three points.