South Coast Flame - Gladesville Ryde Magic prediction 22 August 2026

South Coast Flame vs Gladesville Ryde Magic prediction: the NSW League 2 fixture kicks off at 06:00 UTC on August 22, 2026, with South Coast Flame entering as the favourite with a 43% win probability.

Team Form

South Coast Flame's recent form has been inconsistent, with one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches. Their last outing was a 2-1 away win against Granville Rage on Aug 15. Before that, they suffered a 1-3 home defeat to Parramatta Eagles, a 2-3 away loss to Fraser Park, a 0-2 home loss to Stanmore Hawks, and a goalless draw at home against Bonnyrigg White Eagles.

Gladesville Ryde Magic have also struggled, recording just one win and four losses in their last five. They claimed a 2-0 home victory over Bankstown United on Aug 15, but were beaten heavily by Dunbar Rovers (6-0 away), Fraser Park (2-1 away), Mounties Wanderers (1-6 home), and Bonnyrigg White Eagles (2-0 away).

Head-to-Head Record

In the last three meetings between these sides, Gladesville Ryde Magic hold a slight edge with two wins to South Coast Flame's one. The most recent clash was on May 9, 2026, when Gladesville Ryde Magic won 3-1 at home. South Coast Flame's victory came on their own turf — a 1-0 win on Aug 23, 2025. The earlier encounter on May 10, 2025, saw Gladesville Ryde Magic triumph 7-3 at home. There have been no draws in this head-to-head series.

Win Probability: South Coast Flame or Gladesville Ryde Magic?

Based on the odds, team form, and head-to-head record, we calculate the probabilities as follows: South Coast Flame has a 43% chance of winning, the draw is estimated at 35%, and Gladesville Ryde Magic has a 22% chance. These percentages are derived from the betting odds (home 2.15, draw 2.52, away 3.75), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, and then adjusted to account for South Coast Flame's slightly better recent form and home advantage. The head-to-head history slightly favours the away side, but the home team's solitary H2H win came at this venue.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for the 1X2 market show South Coast Flame as the favourite at 2.15, a draw at 2.52, and an away win for Gladesville Ryde Magic at 3.75. These odds imply that the home side is the most likely winner, but the draw is a strong possibility. Considering both teams' recent struggles and the head-to-head results, this match is likely to be tight. Our prediction leans towards a home win, but the draw is a very realistic outcome based on the stats.