Saint Francis - Glebe North prediction 2 October 2026
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The Saint Francis vs Glebe North prediction for the Leinster Senior League match on October 2, 2026 at 20:00 points to a home advantage. Our win probability model gives Saint Francis a 47% chance to win, a draw at 30%, and Glebe North a 23% chance.
Team Form
Saint Francis come into this match on a terrible run. They have lost their last five games in the Leinster Senior League, conceding 16 goals while scoring only four. Their most recent outings include a 2-1 defeat at Inchicore on September 25, a heavy 7-1 loss at Killester Donnycarney FC, and a 2-0 loss at Crumlin United. At home, they lost 2-1 to Lucan United.
Glebe North are also strugging badly. Their last five results show four defeats and one draw. They lost 6-1 at Wayside Celtic, fell 1-0 at home to Tolka Rovers, and were beaten 3-2 at Montpelier Dublin. The only point came in a 2-2 home draw againest Kilbarrack United. Both sides are in poor form, but Saint Francis have the home pitch.
Head-to-Head Record
Saint Francis hold a clear edge in the head-to-head with two wins and one draw from three meetings. Glebe North have never beaten Saint Francis. The most recent clash on May 16, 2025 ended 1-0 to Saint Francis away from home. Earlier, a 0-0 draw on December 6, 2024 and a 3-0 home win for Saint Francis on November 8, 2024 show that Saint Francis have kept clean sheets in all H2H matches.
Win Probability: Saint Francis or Glebe North?
Based on the odds, home advantage, and the head-to-head record, Saint Francis have a 47% probability of winning. A draw is given a 30% chance, while an away win for Glebe North sits at 23%. The odds imply a clear favorite, but the terrible form of both teams forces us to assign a high draw probability and keep the away chance respectible. Saint Francis are the more likely winner, but the margin of confidence is not overwhelming.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Saint Francis as the favorite. The 1X2 market offers a home win at odds of 1.95, the draw at 2.70, and an away win at 4.00. Based on the stats, we predict a home win for Saint Francis, but given the two teams' recent results, a low-scoring game and a possible draw cannot be ruled out.
Saint Francis vs Glebe North โ FAQ
- Who will win Saint Francis vs Glebe North?
- Saint Francis are the more likely winner with a 47% chance. The draw is at 30%, and Glebe North have a 23% probability. Saint Francis benefit from home advantage and a dominant head-to-head record, but both teams are in very poor form.
- What is the win probability for Saint Francis?
- Saint Francis have a 47% chance to win the match. This figure is based on the 1.95 odds for a home win, the team's historical H2H edge (2 wins, 1 draw), and the home pitch advantage.
- When is the Saint Francis vs Glebe North match?
- The match is scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 20:00 (local time). It will be played in the Leinster Senior League, Ireland Republic.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The current 1X2 odds are: Saint Francis win 1.95, draw 2.70, Glebe North win 4.00. An alternative bookmaker quotes 1.73 for a home win, 5.00 for the draw, and 3.00 for the away side.
- What is the head-to-head record between Saint Francis and Glebe North?
- Saint Francis have won two and drawn one of their three meetings with Glebe North. Glebe North have not won a match yet. All three H2H matches ended with a clean sheet for Saint Francis.