Glenorchy Knights - Devonport City Strikers prediction 1 August 2026

The Glenorchy Knights vs Devonport City Strikers prediction for the NPL Tasmania match on Aug 01, 2026, points to an away win. Based on our win probability analysis, Devonport City Strikers have a 55% chance of winning, while Glenorchy Knights sit at 20% and the draw at 25%. The match kicks off at 06:45 local time in Australia.

Team Form

Glenorchy Knights come into this fixture with mixed recent results. In their last five matches, they recorded one win, one draw, and three losses. Their most recent outing was a 2-0 away victory against Ulverstone on Jul 19, but prior to that they suffered a 0-2 home defeat to Kingborough Lions and a heavy 1-6 loss at South Hobart. At home this season, Glenorchy have managed just 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses from 7 games, scoring 10 and conceding 11.

Devonport City Strikers, on the other hand, have been in stronger form. They have won three of their last five matches, including a 6-0 demolition of Launceston United on Jul 25 and back-to-back home wins against South East United (2-0) and Riverside Olympic (4-1). Their two defeats in that period came against top sides South Hobart and Kingborough Lions. Away from home, Devonport boast an impressive record of 5 wins and 2 losses from 7 matches, with 27 goals scored and only 11 conceded.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favours Devonport City Strikers. In the last 15 meetings across all competitions, Devonport have won 9 times, Glenorchy Knights have won just once, and 5 matches have ended in draws. The most recent encounter was a 1-1 draw in the Australia Cup on May 16, 2026. Before that, Devonport beat Glenorchy 2-1 in the league on May 09, 2026. The last time Glenorchy defeated Devonport was in April 2025, a 2-0 away win. The history suggests Devonport are the dominant side in this fixture.

League Table Positions

Devonport City Strikers sit 3rd in the NPL Tasmania table with 34 points from 15 matches (11 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). They have scored 42 goals and conceded 18, giving them a strong goal difference. Glenorchy Knights are 8th with 14 points from 16 matches (4 wins, 2 draws, 10 losses), scoring 20 and conceding 30. The 20-point gap between the sides underlines the difference in quality this season. Devonport’s away form (3rd in the away table) contrasts sharply with Glenorchy’s home form (8th in the home table).

Win Probability: Glenorchy Knights or Devonport City Strikers?

After analysing the available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Glenorchy Knights 20%, draw 25%, Devonport City Strikers 55%. These percentages are derived from the bookmaker odds (home 4.75, draw 2.68, away 1.85), adjusted for recent form, head-to-head dominance, and league positions. Devonport’s superior away record and Glenorchy’s struggles at home further support the away favourite. The draw probability remains notable due to the frequency of stalemates in past meetings, but Devonport’s current form makes an away win the most likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced Devonport City Strikers as clear favourites, with average odds around 1.85 for an away win. A home victory for Glenorchy Knights is offered at 4.75, while the draw is available at 2.68. These odds reflect the gap between the teams. Based on the stats, form, and head-to-head record, the prediction is an away win for Devonport City Strikers. The match is expected to see goals, given Devonport’s attacking output (42 in 15 games) and Glenorchy’s defensive vulnerabilities (30 conceded). A 2-1 or 2-0 scoreline in favour of the visitors appears a realistic outcome.