Gol Gohar - Kheybar Khorramabad prediction 23 October 2026

This Gol Gohar vs Kheybar Khorramabad prediction analyses the Pro League clash on Oct 23, 2026, at 13:30. Gol Gohar are the clear favorites with a 55% win probability, while the draw sits at 25% and Kheybar Khorramabad have just a 20% chance — a conclusion drawn from recent form, head-to-head records, and league standings.

Team Form

Gol Gohar's last five matches (L, W, D, W, L) highlight a mixed bag. A 3-0 home thrashing of Esteghlal Khuzestan showcased their attacking power, but away losses to Al Muharraq and Tractor Sazi exposed vulnerabilities. They’ve managed only two wins in that spell, though both came in familiar surroundings. Kheybar Khorramabad’s recent form reads W, D, D, L, W — slightly more consistent. They held giants Persepolis to a 0-0 home draw and beat Foolad Khuzestan 2-0, but also lost 1-0 at Nassaji Mazandaran. Two wins and two draws from five suggests they are tough to beat but lack a cutting edge on the road. Overall, Gol Gohar’s home comfort and Kheybar’s average away performances tip the balance.

Head-to-Head Record

Gol Gohar remain unbeaten in three meetings with Kheybar Khorramabad (2 wins, 1 draw). The last encounter — a goalless stalemate in October 2025 — was the first time Kheybar avoided defeat. Prior to that, Gol Gohar secured 2-0 and 1-0 home victories in 2025 and 2017 respectively, both in league competition. The head-to-head data strongly points to a home advantage factor: Gol Gohar have never lost to this opponent and have kept two clean sheets in the process.

League Table Positions

After 8 rounds, Gol Gohar sit 7th with 13 points (4 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). Kheybar Khorramabad are 9th with 11 points from 9 matches (2 wins, 5 draws, 2 losses). The home/away splits underline the gap: Gol Gohar boast 3 wins from 4 home games (7 goals scored, 2 conceded), a record bettered only by the top four. Kheybar’s away form is not among the league’s top eight — their 2 away matches in the last five yielded a 2-2 draw at Chador Malu and a 1-0 loss at Nassaji. With such a stark home/away disparity, the table heavily favours the hosts.

Win Probability: Gol Gohar or Kheybar Khorramabad?

Taking into account home advantage (Gol Gohar’s near-perfect home record), head-to-head dominance (unbeaten in 3, 2 wins), and league positions, we calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: Gol Gohar win 55%, draw 25%, Kheybar Khorramabad win 20%. These percentages are derived by weighting the form and stats — no bookmaker odds were available to adjust. The conclusion is clear: Goh Gohar are the much more likely winner, with the draw a credible secondary outcome given Kheybar’s draw-heavy season (5 of 9 games finished level). A Kheybar away win would be a significant upset.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are currently available for this fixture. However, based purely on the statistical analysis, a home win is the safest prediction. Gol Gohar’s defensive solidity at home (0.5 goals conceded per game) combined with Kheybar’s modest away attacking output points towards a low-scoring affair — a 1-0 or 2-0 result in favour of the hosts appears realistic. While Kheybar are not easy to beat, their inability to win on the road and Gol Gohar’s perfect H2H record make the home side the smart pick.