Gornik Leczna - Stal Stalowa Wola prediction 17 October 2026

Gornik Leczna vs Stal Stalowa Wola prediction: the hosts have a 45% chance of winning this II Liga match on Oct 17, 2026. Kick-off is at 13:15, and the home side are clear favorites based on form, league position, and head-to-head data.

Team Form

Gornik Leczna's last five matches: L, W, D, W, W. They lost 3-0 to GKS Tychy on October 11, but previously beat Chojniczanka Chojnice 3-1, drew 0-0 with Zawisza Bydgoszcz, beat Legia Warszawa II 4-1, and thrashed Sokol Kleczew 4-0 away. Three wins, one draw, and one defeat in that run shows solid form.

Stal Stalowa Wola's recent results: W, L, W, L, D. They edged Slask Wroclaw II 3-2 on October 10, lost 2-4 to Znicz Pruszkow, beat Resovia Rzeszow 2-0, were hammered 5-0 by Podhale Nowy Targ, and drew 3-3 with Zawisza Bydgoszcz. That's two wins, two losses, and a draw – inconsistency away from home is a concern.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met six times: Gornik Leczna have three wins, Stal Stalowa Wola also three, and there have been no draws. The most recent clash was on December 1, 2024, in I Liga, when Gornik Leczna won 2-0 at home. That ended a run of two Stal Stalowa Wola victories, suggesting the pendulum has swung in favor of the hosts.

League Table Positions

Gornik Leczna sit 3rd in the II Liga overall standings with 20 points from 11 games (6 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses). At home they are even stronger – 3rd in the home table with 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 13 and conceding just 5. Stal Stalowa Wola are outside the top 12 overall and not in the top 8 of the away standings, highlighting their struggles on the road.

Win Probability: Gornik Leczna or Stal Stalowa Wola?

Based on the bookmaker odds (2.40 home, 2.20 draw, 3.85 away) and further adjusted for home advantage, form, and head-to-head, the probabilities are:

• Gornik Leczna win: 45%
• Draw: 30%
• Stal Stalowa Wola win: 25%

The initial implied odds gave a rough 36.8%–40.2%–23.0% split after removing the margin; we raised the home chance due to a 4-1 home record, an overall 3rd place, and a recent H2H win, while Stal Stalowa Wola's patchy away form lowered their chances. The conclusion: Gornik Leczna are clearly the more likely winners.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a tight contest, with draw odds (2.20) shorter than the home win (2.40). However, the stats point firmly towards a home success. Gornik Leczna's form, league position, and head-to-head edge at this venue make them the best bet. Our Gornik Leczna vs Stal Stalowa Wola prediction is a home win.