Piast Gliwice - Gornik Zabrze prediction 27 October 2026

Searching for a reliable Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice prediction for the Polish Cup clash? The match kicks off on October 27, 2026, at 19:30, and after analyzing the odds, form, and head-to-head record, Gornik Zabrze come out as the narrow favourite with a 40% win probability, while Piast Gliwice hold a 25% chance and the draw stands at 35%.

Team Form

Piast Gliwice (Home)

Piast Gliwice’s last five results read W, D, W, L, L. Most recently, they beat Cracovia Krakow 3–1 at home, drew 1–1 away at Gornik Zabrze, and edged Widzew Lodz 2–1, but then lost a friendly to Wisla Krakow 3–4 and fell 1–2 at home to Pogon Szczecin. That’s two wins, one draw, and two defeats – a mixed bag that leaves them without consistent momentum.

Gornik Zabrze (Away)

Gornik Zabrze’s form line reads D, D, W, L, D. They drew 1–1 at Widzew Lodz, drew 1–1 with Piast Gliwice, won 3–1 at Jagiellonia Bialystok, lost a friendly to Odra Opole 0–2, and played a 0–0 draw away to Motor Lublin. Only one defeat in five competitive outings (excluding the friendly) underlines their resilience, with the draw a common theme.

Head-to-Head Record

Overall, across all meetings, Piast Gliwice have 2 wins, 4 Gornik Zabrze wins, and 3 draws. The last five encounters paint an even clearer picture:

• Oct 18, 2026: Gornik Zabrze 1–1 Piast Gliwice (Ekstraklasa, draw)
• Jan 31, 2026: Gornik Zabrze 2–1 Piast Gliwice (Ekstraklasa, Gornik win)
• Jul 26, 2025: Piast Gliwice 0–1 Gornik Zabrze (Ekstraklasa, Gornik win)
• May 17, 2025: Piast Gliwice 2–0 Gornik Zabrze (Ekstraklasa, Piast win)
• Nov 24, 2024: Gornik Zabrze 1–0 Piast Gliwice (Ekstraklasa, Gornik win)

Gornik Zabrze have won three of the last five, with one draw and only one Piast victory. That edge, combined with two away wins in Gliwice recently, gives them a psychological advantage.

Win Probability: Gornik Zabrze or Piast Gliwice?

To answer the main question – who will win Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice – we calculated probabilities from the bookmakers’ odds and adjusted for form and H2H:

• Gornik Zabrze win: 40%
• Draw: 35%
• Piast Gliwice win: 25%

Bookmaker markets initially implied a 38% away win, 36% draw, and 26% home win after removing the margin. We nudged Gornik Zabrze higher because of their recent head-to-head dominance (three wins in five) and steadier form string, while Piast Gliwice’s two losses in their last two Ekstraklasa outings weighed down their home chances. In short, Gornik Zabrze are the most probable outright winner, but a stalemate is a very live runner.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available 1X2 odds vary across bookmakers. A Piast Gliwice win is priced in the 3.00 to 3.45 range, the draw sits between 2.25 and 3.50, and a Gornik Zabrze victory trades at 2.01 to 2.50. The shortest priced Gornik win (2.01) underlines their status as the marginal favourites.

Taking everything into account – the 40% win probability for Gornik Zabrze, the 35% chance of a draw, and the recent H2H pattern – our match prediction leans towards a Gornik Zabrze win or a draw. The value bet may lie in backing the away side to win, but the high draw likelihood suggests covering the draw in betting tips could be wise.