Fezzanese - Gozzano prediction 21 September 2026

Our Fezzanese vs Gozzano prediction for the Serie D match on September 21, 2026, gives Fezzanese a 60% chance to win at home. The match kicks off at 12:30 UTC and sees the in-form hosts take on an out-of-sorts Gozzano side. Based on current form, league standings, and home advantage, Fezzanese enter the game as strong favourites.

Team Form: Fezzanese vs Gozzano

Fezzanese come into this clash with a solid recent record of W, D, L, W, W in their last five outings. Their most recent Serie D fixture was a 2-0 home win against ASD Chisola Calcio on September 13, followed by a 1-1 away draw at AC Bra on September 6. Earlier results include a 3-1 loss to GSD Lascaris and two wins over GSD Lascaris (3-1) and ASD Rivasamba HCA (2-1). Overall, Fezzanese have scored 6 goals and conceded only 1 in their three league matches this season, showing both defensive solidity and attacking efficiency.

Gozzano, on the other hand, have struggled recently with a form line of L, L, D, W, L. They lost 2-0 away to Asti on September 12 in their last league match and fell 3-1 to Pro Patria in a friendly. Their only win in the last five came at home against Asd Cairese 1919 (1-0) on May 3. Gozzano have failed to score in three of those five matches and have a negative goal difference across their recent games, which highlights their current difficulties.

Head-to-Head Record

There has been only one previous meeting between Fezzanese and Gozzano. On December 17, 2023, Gozzano secured a 2-1 home victory in Serie D. With just a single encounter on record, the head-to-head sample is extremely limited, but it does give Gozzano a psychological edge from that earlier result.

League Table Positions

Fezzanese sit 5th in the Serie D standings with 7 points from 3 matches (2 wins, 1 draw). They have scored 6 goals and conceded only 1, reflecting the division’s second-best defensive record among the listed teams. Gozzano are not present in the top 12 of the table, suggesting a lower position and a likely points tally below 4 from at least 3 matches played. The significant gap in league standing further underlines the hosts’ superiority heading into this fixture.

Win Probability: Fezzanese or Gozzano?

Taking into account all available data—current form, head-to-head history, home/away performance, and league positions—we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Fezzanese have a 60% chance of winning, the draw stands at 25%, and Gozzano hold a 15% chance.

Fezzanese’s strong home record (1 win, 2 goals scored, 0 conceded) and unbeaten league start contrast sharply with Gozzano’s poor away results (losses to Asti and Biellese, a solitary draw at Derthona) and their absence from the upper part of the table. While the historic H2H favours Gozzano, the three-year gap and the current disparity in form tilt the balance heavily towards the home side. Therefore, Fezzanese are the most likely winners, but the draw cannot be entirely ruled out given the low-scoring nature of many Serie D encounters.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds for this fixture are not yet available. When odds are released, they are expected to price Fezzanese as clear favourites, with Gozzano as significant underdogs. Based on the statistical analysis, the match prediction is a home win for Fezzanese. The host’s defensive organisation and recent scoring form should be enough to decide the game, possibly with a clean sheet. A 2-0 or 2-1 scoreline appears the most likely outcome.