MAS Taborsko - Graffin Vlasim prediction 2 October 2026

Our Graffin Vlasim vs MAS Taborsko prediction for the FNL clash on September 18, 2026 (16:00 UTC) is a draw, with bookmakers and form analysis pointing to a tight contest. Based on our probability model, a stalemate holds a 35% chance, while MAS Taborsko (33%) edges Graffin Vlasim (32%) if a winner emerges.

Team Form

Graffin Vlasim have endured a patchy run with two wins, three defeats in their last five outings across all competitions. At home they recently lost 0‑2 to Slovan Liberec in the Cup, before beating Trinec 2‑1 in the league. An away 1‑3 reverse at Dukla Praha and a 1‑2 loss at Arsenal Ceska Lipa exposed defensive frailties, though a 3‑0 Cup win at Banik Sokolov offered some relief. Their last five FNL results read L W L – far from convincing.

MAS Taborsko also arrive with mixed results: one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five. A heavy 0‑5 home Cup loss to Teplice highlighted fragility, while a 3‑3 FNL home draw with SK Kladno and a 1‑1 away draw at Prostejov showed resilience. Either side of those, they lost 0‑1 at home to Usti nad Labem and won 4‑0 at Admira Praha in the Cup. In the league, they are winless in three (D D L).

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head between these FNL rivals is almost perfectly split: 11 home wins, 8 draws, and 12 away wins across 31 meetings. Recent history confirms a trend away from draws: the last five encounters all produced a winner, with MAS Taborsko winning three and Graffin Vlasim two. The most recent clash, on March 1, 2026, saw Graffin Vlasim win 2‑1 at home. Before that, MAS Taborsko won 3‑1 at home (July 2025) and 2‑1 away (October 2024), while Graffin Vlasim claimed a 3‑1 away win in May 2025 and a 2‑0 friendly success in February 2025.

Win Probability: Graffin Vlasim vs MAS Taborsko Prediction

We started with the implied probabilities from the bookmakers’ 1X2 odds (2.88 home, 2.25 draw, 3.00 away) and removed the margin. This gave a raw picture of 31% home win, 40% draw, 29% away win. However, the lack of draws in the recent head-to-head record and both teams’ inconsistent form led us to adjust. Our final win probability for Graffin Vlasim vs MAS Taborsko is:

• Graffin Vlasim win – 32%
• Draw – 35%
• MAS Taborsko win – 33%

The draw remains the single most likely result, but the margins are razor thin. If a winner emerges, MAS Taborsko holds a fractional advantage thanks to a slightly better away H2H record (12 away wins historically) and marginally more consistent recent attacking returns. However, neither side can be considered a strong favourite.

Odds & Match Prediction

The bookmakers’ pre‑match odds reflect the tight nature of this fixture: Graffin Vlasim 2.88, the draw 2.25, and MAS Taborsko 3.00. A low draw quote of 2.25 underlines that the market views a stalemate as the most probable individual outcome. Taking the stats and odds together, our match prediction is a cautious draw. With both teams showing defensive vulnerabilities but also the ability to grind out results, a low‑scoring stalemate is a sensible betting tip. If you prefer a winner market, the slender probability edge points to MAS Taborsko, but only with minimal value at 3.00.