SC Kalsdorf - Grazer AK prediction 30 September 2026

SC Kalsdorf vs Grazer AK prediction for the Friendly Clubs match on September 30, 2026. Grazer AK enters this fixture as the overwhelming favorite, with a 67% win probability according to our analysis. SC Kalsdorf, playing at home, has only an 8% chance of causing an upset, while the draw sits at 25%.

Team Form

SC Kalsdorf comes into this match with a mixed but positive recent record in the Regional League. Their last five results show three wins, one draw, and one loss (W, L, W, W, D). They secured a 2-1 home victory over SV Fleischereimaschinen Schenk Tillmitsch on Sep 26, but fell 0-1 away to Deutschlandsberger SC on Sep 18. Notable wins include a 3-0 home thrashing of TSV Eggendorf Hartberg II and a 5-0 cup win at Usv Fliesen Klampfer Gabersdorf.

Grazer AK, competing in the higher-tier Bundesliga, has faced tougher opposition. Their last five matches produced two wins, two draws, and one loss (D, W, W, D, L). They drew 2-2 at home against Austria Wien on Sep 19, beat SC Rheindorf Altach 2-1 away, and defeated Kitzbuhel 2-0 in the cup. A 0-0 stalemate with Wolfsberger AC and a 0-1 loss at SV Ried show some inconsistency, but the quality of opponents is significantly higher than what SC Kalsdorf faces.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Grazer AK. In five previous meetings, Grazer AK has won four times, while SC Kalsdorf has won once, with no draws. The most recent clash on January 29, 2022, saw SC Kalsdorf pull off a surprise 2-1 away win. However, Grazer AK had won the four prior encounters, including three away wins at SC Kalsdorf in August 2018 by the same 3-2 scoreline. Historically, Grazer AK has dominated this fixture.

Win Probability: SC Kalsdorf or Grazer AK?

Based on the available odds, team form, head-to-head record, and the gap in league levels, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• SC Kalsdorf win: 8%
• Draw: 25%
• Grazer AK win: 67%

Bookmakers’ odds imply a 62% chance for Grazer AK, but adjusting for their superior Bundesliga form and a 4-1 head-to-head advantage, we raise that to 67%. SC Kalsdorf’s home advantage is offset by their historical struggles against Grazer AK, leaving them with just an 8% probability. The draw remains a plausible outcome at 25%, given Grazer AK’s recent two draws in their last five matches.

Odds & Match Prediction

The latest odds for this Friendly Clubs match are: SC Kalsdorf home win at 9.50, a draw at 3.10, and a Grazer AK away win at 1.44. These prices clearly indicate that bookmakers see Grazer AK as the strong favorite. Our SC Kalsdorf vs Grazer AK prediction aligns with the market: Grazer AK to win. With a 67% win probability and odds of 1.44, backing the away side offers value for bettors looking for a straightforward betting tip. However, the draw at 3.10 could be an interesting alternative given Grazer AK’s occasional stalemates.