Herrestads AIF - Grebbestads IF prediction 5 October 2026

This Herrestads AIF vs Grebbestads IF prediction for October 5, 2026 covers the Sweden Division 2 match, which kicks off at 18:00 local time. Herrestads AIF are slight favorites with a 39% win probability, while Grebbestads IF have a 32% chance and the draw is at 29%.

Team Form

Herrestads AIF's last five matches:

• Sep 27: Motala AIF FK 4-0 Herrestads AIF (L)
• Sep 18: Herrestads AIF 2-1 IFK Kumla (W)
• Sep 13: Lidkopings FK 2-1 Herrestads AIF (L)
• Sep 5: Herrestads AIF 2-2 IF Karlstad II (D)
• Aug 28: Stenungsunds 0-1 Herrestads AIF (W)

Herrestads AIF have managed two wins, one draw, and two defeats in this period, showing inconsistency.

Grebbestads IF's last five matches:

• Sep 26: Grebbestads IF 3-1 Skara FC (W)
• Sep 19: Motala AIF FK 1-3 Grebbestads IF (W)
• Sep 11: Vanersborgs IF 1-2 Grebbestads IF (W)
• Sep 6: Grebbestads IF 0-1 Lidkopings FK (L)
• Aug 30: Husqvarna FF 3-2 Grebbestads IF (L)

Grebbestads IF started with three straight wins but have now lost two in a row, indicating a dip in form. Notably, their three wins included two away victories, but the two losses came at home and away, showing vulnerability.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last 5 meetings, Herrestads AIF leads with 3 wins, Grebbestads IF has 1 win, and 1 draw.

• Apr 18, 2026: Grebbestads IF 2-1 Herrestads AIF
• Sep 19, 2025: Herrestads AIF 1-1 Grebbestads IF
• Jun 19, 2025: Grebbestads IF 1-2 Herrestads AIF
• Sep 16, 2023: Grebbestads IF 0-4 Herrestads AIF
• May 18, 2023: Herrestads AIF 1-0 Grebbestads IF

Herrestads AIF have won three of the last five encounters, including a 4-0 away victory in 2023. They have not lost at home to Grebbestads IF in the last two such meetings (1-0 win and 1-1 draw).

Win Probability: Herrestads AIF or Grebbestads IF?

Our Herrestads AIF vs Grebbestads IF prediction assigns a 39% win probability to the home side, 29% to the draw, and 32% to the away team. The raw odds implied a 35.3% home win chance, 30.7% draw, and 34.0% away win. After factoring in Herrestads AIF's home advantage and superior head-to-head record (3 wins vs 1), we adjusted the probabilities to 39-29-32. Grebbestads IF's recent back-to-back losses also reduce their chances, while Herrestads AIF's mixed form prevents a larger gap.

Odds & Match Prediction

The average pre-match odds from six bookmakers are 2.49 for a Herrestads AIF win, 2.86 for the draw, and 2.58 for a Grebbestads IF victory. The market indicates a very even match, with Herrestads AIF as the marginal favorite. Based on the stats, our final Herrestads AIF vs Grebbestads IF prediction is a home win, but a draw is a realistic alternative given the tight odds.