Netherlands - Greece prediction 13 November 2026

Europe ยท UEFA Nations LeagueNot started
Netherlands
VS
Greece
Full Time Result (1X2)
1
1.68
X
3.08
2
7.30
Match Info
CompetitionUEFA Nations League ยท Europe
Start date
Kick-off
VenueJohan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Capacity53,052
Surfacegrass
Recent Form
Netherlands
W
D
W
D
D
Greece
D
D
W
W
L
Recent matches ยท Netherlands
UEFA Nations League
Netherlands
Serbia
21
W
UEFA Nations League
Greece
Netherlands
22
D
UEFA Nations League
Serbia
Netherlands
12
W
UEFA Nations League
Netherlands
Germany
11
D
World Cup
Netherlands
Morocco
11
D
World Cup
Tunisia
Netherlands
13
W
World Cup
Netherlands
Sweden
51
W
World Cup
Netherlands
Japan
22
D
Friendly International
Netherlands
Uzbekistan
21
W
Friendly International
Netherlands
Algeria
01
L
Friendly International
Netherlands
Ecuador
11
D
Friendly International
Netherlands
Norway
21
W
Kings League
USA (VII)
Netherlands
74
L
Kings League
Morocco (VII)
Netherlands
56
W
Kings League
Chile
Netherlands
33
D
Recent matches ยท Greece
UEFA Nations League
Greece
Germany
00
D
UEFA Nations League
Greece
Netherlands
22
D
UEFA Nations League
Germany
Greece
01
W
UEFA Nations League
Serbia
Greece
12
W
Friendly International
Greece
Italy
01
L
Friendly International
Sweden
Greece
22
D
Friendly International
Hungary
Greece
00
D
Friendly International
Greece
Paraguay
01
L
Friendly International
Greece
Bulgaria
40
W
Friendly International
Greece
Slovakia
41
W
UEFA Nations League
Scotland
Greece
03
W
UEFA Nations League
Greece
Scotland
01
L
UEFA Nations League
Finland
Greece
02
W
UEFA Nations League
Greece
England
03
L
UEFA Nations League
Greece
Ireland
20
W
Odds
Full Time Result
Pre-match odds
Bookmaker1X2
1.402.605.50
1.362.685.90
1.131.131.13
Lineups
Netherlands1-4-3-3
  • 1Bart Verbruggengoalkeeper
  • 7Crysencio Summervilleforward
  • 22Denzel Dumfriesdefender
  • 18Joey Veermanmidfielder
  • 21Jorrel Hatodefender
  • 17Mexx Meerdinkforward
  • 37Micky van de Vendefender
  • 10Noa Langforward
  • 38Ryan Gravenberchmidfielder
  • 8Teun Koopmeinersmidfielder
  • 14Tijjani Reijndersmidfielder
  • 4Virgil Van Dijkdefender
Substitutes
  • 21Gjivai Zechiรซl
  • Guus Til
  • Jeremie Frimpong
  • 11Joshua Zirkzee
  • 12Jurrien Timber
  • 24Kenneth Taylor
  • 23Mark Flekken
  • Nathan Akรฉ
  • Quinten Timber
  • 22Robin Roefs
  • Ruben van Bommel
Greece1-4-4-2
  • 89Alexandros Kyziridisforward
  • Christos Mouzakitismidfielder
  • 6Dimitrios Kourbelismidfielder
  • 8Fotis Ioannidisforward
  • 7Georgios Masourasforward
  • 3Konstantinos Koulierakisdefender
  • 4Konstantinos Mavropanosdefender
  • 21Konstantinos Tsimikasdefender
  • 19Konstantinos Tzolakisgoalkeeper
  • 5Panagiotis Retsosdefender
  • 2Triantafyllos Tsaprasdefender
  • 14Vangelis Pavlidisforward
Substitutes
  • 9Anastasios Douvikas
  • 15Athanasios Androutsos
  • 19Charalampos Kostoulas
  • 35Christos Mandas
  • Dimitrios Pelkas
  • 22Georgios Kyriakopoulos
  • 18Giannis Michailidis
  • Konstantinos Karetsas
  • 1Odisseas Vlachodimos
Head-to-Head ยท summary
0
Netherlands
1
Draws
0
Greece
Previous meetings
UEFA Nations League
Greece
Netherlands
22
League Standings
#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Portugal44009:4+512
2Montenegro43107:4+310
3France43107:2+510
4Sweden43107:3+410
5Switzerland33008:1+79
6Spain330010:4+69
7Netherlands42207:5+28
8Northern Ireland42204:0+48
9Austria42209:5+48
10Bosnia-Herzegovina42206:3+38
11Greece42205:3+28
12Finland32109:1+87
13Malta32104:2+27
14Iceland32107:1+67
15Slovakia32105:2+37
16Cyprus42115:3+27
17Italy42118:5+37
18Hungary42113:2+17
19England320111:3+86
20Denmark42027:706
21Albania32016:2+46
22Belgium42026:5+16
23Azerbaijan31202:1+15
24Estonia31202:1+15
25Kosovo41213:4-15
26Germany41213:2+15
27Ireland41216:4+25
28Slovenia31113:2+14
29Lithuania31113:2+14
30Faroe Islands40405:504
31Armenia41124:5-14
32Belarus31114:2+24
33Scotland31112:3-14
34Moldova31113:4-14
35Poland41127:4+34
36Ukraine41122:5-34
37Luxembourg31022:5-33
38Croatia31023:12-93
39Wales41032:5-33
40Norway41036:8-23
41Gibraltar20201:102
42Kazakhstan40225:7-22
43Georgia40220:2-22
44Israel40222:7-52
45Liechtenstein20110:2-21
46Andorra30121:3-21
47Latvia40132:6-41
48Bulgaria30121:5-41
49North Macedonia30030:7-70
50San Marino30030:14-140
51Serbia40043:8-50
52Czech Republic30032:7-50
53Romania40043:13-100
54Turkey40042:11-90
Champions LeagueEuropeRelegation

Greece vs Netherlands Prediction (Oct 1)

The Greece vs Netherlands prediction for October 1, 2026, sees the Netherlands as the favorite, though Greece's strong away form in the UEFA Nations League makes this a tight contest. Based on our win probability analysis, the Netherlands has a 40% chance of winning, a draw is at 35%, and Greece has a 25% chance.

Team Form

Greece comes into this match with a solid run of results, recording two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five outings (W, W, L, D, D). Their recent victories include a 1-0 win away at Germany on Sep 27 and a 2-1 win away at Serbia on Sep 24. The Netherlands are also in good shape, with three wins and two draws in their last five (W, D, D, W, W). They beat Serbia 2-1 away on Sep 27 and drew 1-1 at home with Germany on Sep 24.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head record available for these two sides, with zero wins for Greece, zero draws, and zero wins for the Netherlands. This will be a fresh encounter between the two nations.

League Table Positions

In the overall UEFA Nations League standings, Greece sits 2nd with 6 points from 2 matches (2 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses), scoring 3 goals and conceding 1. The Netherlands are 10th with 4 points from 2 matches (1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses), scoring 3 and conceding 2. Notably, Greece has a perfect away record, ranked 1st in the away table with 6 points from 2 away wins.

Win Probability: Greece or Netherlands?

Greece has a 25% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and the Netherlands has a 40% chance. These probabilities are derived from the available odds, normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, and then adjusted for team form and league positions. The Netherlands are favored based on their overall squad strength and recent World Cup performances, but Greece's perfect away record in the competition and home advantage at Karaiskakis Stadium narrow the gap significantly, pushing the draw probability higher.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a close match. The best available odds for a Greece win are 3.50, a draw is 2.22, and a Netherlands win is 2.20. Based on the stats, the Netherlands are slight favorites, but a draw is a very realistic outcome given Greece's resilient form. Our prediction leans towards a Netherlands win or a draw, with under 2.5 total goals a likely scenario.

Greece vs Netherlands โ€” FAQ

Who will win Greece vs Netherlands?
Based on our analysis, the Netherlands has a 40% chance of winning, while Greece has a 25% chance, and the draw is at 35%. The Netherlands are slight favorites, but Greece's strong away form in the UEFA Nations League makes this a closely contested match.
What is the win probability for Netherlands?
The Netherlands has a 40% win probability. This is based on odds, recent form (W, D, D, W, W), and their higher overall squad quality, though Greece's perfect away record reduces their margin.
When is the Greece vs Netherlands match?
The match is on October 1, 2026, at 19:45 local time. It is a UEFA Nations League fixture being played at Karaiskakis Stadium in Athens.
What are the odds for the match?
The odds for the match vary by bookmaker. The best available odds are 3.50 for a Greece win, 2.22 for a draw, and 2.20 for a Netherlands win.
Netherlands โ€“ Greece ยท match page