Our Greuther Furth II vs FC Memmingen prediction for the Regionalliga match on Oct 13, 2026, at 18:00 gives FC Memmingen a 50% win probability, with Greuther Furth II at 22% and a draw at 28%. The match takes place in Germany's Regionalliga, and based on recent form and head-to-head stats, the away side is the favorite to secure all three points.
Greuther Furth II's recent form has been inconsistent. In their last five matches, they have recorded one win, three draws, and one loss (D, D, L, D, W). They drew 3-3 with Wacker Burghausen on Oct 10, followed by a 1-1 draw against Bayern Munich II. A 3-2 defeat to VfB Eichstatt and a 1-1 draw with 1860 Munchen showed defensive vulnerabilities, but they did manage a 1-0 win over ASV Cham back in June. Overall, they have struggled to secure victories, with only one win in five outings.
FC Memmingen comes into this match in excellent form, unbeaten in their last five games with three wins and two draws (W, W, D, D, W). They secured a 1-0 home win against VfB Eichstatt, a 2-0 away victory at FV Illertissen, and a 2-1 win at Bayern Munich II. Two goalless draws against Wacker Burghausen and Unterhaching show defensive solidity. With three clean sheets in five matches, they are a tough side to break down.
Historically, FC Memmingen has dominated this fixture. In 13 previous meetings, Greuther Furth II has won just 3 times, with 1 draw and 9 wins for FC Memmingen. The most recent encounter on Apr 11, 2026, saw Greuther Furth II claim a 2-1 home victory, but prior to that, FC Memmingen had been unbeaten in two matches (a 1-1 draw in Sep 2025 and a 2-1 away win in Oct 2023). The overall head-to-head record strongly favors the away side.
Based on the available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Greuther Furth II has a 22% chance of winning, the draw has a 28% chance, and FC Memmingen has a 50% chance of victory. These percentages are derived from the bookmakers' odds (3.25 home, 2.20 draw, 2.70 away), adjusted for the teams' recent form and head-to-head record. The odds initially implied a draw as the most likely outcome, but FC Memmingen's strong unbeaten run and historical dominance shift the probability significantly in their favor. Greuther Furth II's poor form and defensive issues further reduce their chances. Therefore, FC Memmingen is the clear favorite to win this match.
Bookmakers have priced this match with Greuther Furth II at 3.25, the draw at 2.20, and FC Memmingen at 2.70. These odds suggest a tight contest, but our analysis points to an away win as the most probable outcome. Considering FC Memmingen's form and the head-to-head record, betting tips would lean towards an FC Memmingen victory. However, the draw remains a plausible result given the odds. Our final Greuther Furth II vs FC Memmingen prediction is an away win, with a 50% probability.