Greuther Furth - Magdeburg prediction 18 September 2026

The Greuther Furth vs Magdeburg prediction for this Bundesliga 2 clash on Sep 18 points to a tight contest with the visitors holding a slight edge. Based on our analysis of odds, form, and league positions, Magdeburg has a 40% win probability, Greuther Furth sits at 30%, and the draw is also at 30%.

Team Form

Greuther Furth come into this match in poor shape, with just one win in their last five outings (D, L, W, L, L). They drew 1-1 at VfL Bochum, lost 0-1 at home to Heidenheim, won 4-3 at Energie Cottbus, then suffered back-to-back defeats: 1-2 at home to VfL Bochum in the DFB Pokal and 2-4 at home to Nurnberg. That run includes three losses in four league games, leaving them vulnerable.

Magdeburg, by contrast, are flying high with four wins from their last five (W, L, W, W, W). They beat Kaiserslautern 3-0 at home, lost narrowly 1-2 at Hertha Berlin, then dispatched Holstein Kiel 2-0, Bahlinger SC 4-0 in the cup, and VfL Osnabruck 3-0 away. Their attack has scored 10 goals in the last five, while the defence kept three clean sheets.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall H2H record is perfectly balanced: 4 wins for Greuther Furth, 2 draws, and 4 wins for Magdeburg. Recent meetings have been high-scoring thrillers. The last encounter on Feb 06, 2026, ended 4-5 to Magdeburg at this venue. Before that, Greuther Furth won 5-4 at Magdeburg in August 2025. The three prior clashes produced two 1-1 draws and a 3-0 home win for Greuther Furth in 2023. Goals are almost guaranteed when these sides meet.

League Table Positions

Magdeburg sit 3rd in the Bundesliga 2 table with 9 points from 5 matches (3 wins, 2 losses), scoring 10 and conceding 8. Greuther Furth are down in 9th with only 5 points (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses) and a negative goal difference (8:10). The home/away split further highlights the gap: Greuther Furth have lost both home league games this season, while Magdeburg have taken 3 points from 2 away trips (1 win, 1 loss).

Win Probability: Greuther Furth or Magdeburg?

After removing the bookmaker margin from average odds (home 2.59, draw 2.82, away 2.60), the implied chances were almost equal: Greuther Furth 34.3%, draw 31.5%, Magdeburg 34.2%. However, we adjust these figures based on current form, head-to-head trends, and league positions. Magdeburg’s superior recent results and Greuther Furth’s dreadful home record (0 wins, 2 defeats) tilt the balance. Our final win probability is: Greuther Furth 30%, draw 30%, Magdeburg 40%. Magdeburg are the more likely winners, but the draw remains a realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a very open contest. The best available odds in the pre-match market are around 2.64 for a home win, 3.90 for the draw, and 2.48 for an away win. The average odds across four bookies are 2.59 (Greuther Furth), 2.82 (draw), and 2.60 (Magdeburg). Based on the stats, Magdeburg’s form and Greuther Furth’s home struggles make the away win the most probable outcome. However, the high-scoring H2H history suggests both teams could find the net, and a draw is a solid hedge. Our prediction: Magdeburg to win, but with caution.