SC Cambuur U21 - Groningen U21 prediction 3 October 2026

Our SC Cambuur U21 vs Groningen U21 prediction for the U21 League match on October 3, 2026, at 17:00 points to a very tight contest. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, SC Cambuur U21 has a 33% chance of winning, a draw stands at 35%, and Groningen U21 has a 32% probability. Bookmakers also see little to separate the sides, making this one of the most balanced fixtures in the division.

Team Form

SC Cambuur U21 come into this match with a mixed recent record: D, L, W, W, D in their last five outings. Their most recent result was a 3-3 home draw against Willem II U21 on September 5, 2026. Before that, they lost 5-3 away to ADO Den Haag U21, but they also recorded impressive wins — 5-0 at home to Fortuna Sittard U21 and 1-0 at home to FC Twente/Heracles Academie U21. The 4-4 away draw at Willem II U21 in March showed their attacking threat but also defensive vulnerabilities.

Groningen U21 have posted L, W, W, L, D in their last five matches. They suffered a 0-3 home defeat to PEC Zwolle U21 on September 12, 2026, but previously thrashed FC Twente/Heracles Academie U21 4-0 at home and won 2-1 away at De Graafschap U21. A 3-2 loss at Jong Sparta Rotterdam and a 1-1 home draw with the same opponent round off their recent form. Both teams have shown they can score but also concede, which sets up an unpredictable encounter.

Head-to-Head Record

All three previous meetings between these sides took place at SC Cambuur U21’s ground. The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced: 1 home win, 1 draw, and 1 away win. The most recent clash on March 3, 2026, ended 0-0. Before that, Groningen U21 won 3-0 on November 15, 2025, and SC Cambuur U21 won 1-0 on November 12, 2024. The low-scoring nature of two of those games suggests another tight affair could be on the cards.

League Table Positions

Both teams are level on 7 points after 4 matches in the U21 League, sitting 3rd and 4th respectively. SC Cambuur U21 have scored 12 goals and conceded 5, while Groningen U21 have netted 8 and let in 6. At home, SC Cambuur U21 have played just once — a 3-3 draw — leaving them with only 1 point from a possible 3 at their own stadium. In contrast, Groningen U21 are unbeaten away from home: 1 win and 1 draw, with 4 goals scored and 3 conceded. The away side’s stronger road form gives them a slight edge in this matchup.

Win Probability: SC Cambuur U21 or Groningen U21?

We calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: SC Cambuur U21 win – 33%, draw – 35%, Groningen U21 win – 32%. These figures are derived from the bookmaker odds (first set: home 2.50, draw 2.40, away 3.20), which imply a draw is the most likely single result. After adjusting for the balanced head-to-head record, the identical points tally, and Groningen U21’s better away form, the probabilities remain extremely close. No team can be considered a clear favorite, but the draw emerges as the marginally most probable outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds reflect the even nature of this fixture. One bookmaker prices a home win at 2.50, the draw at 2.40, and an away win at 3.20. Another offers 2.05 for a home victory, 3.90 for the draw, and 2.70 for an away success. Based on the stats, the safest betting tip is the draw, but with such fine margins, all three outcomes are realistic. Our final SC Cambuur U21 vs Groningen U21 prediction: a stalemate looks the most likely result, but expect a closely fought contest where either side could snatch a narrow win.