Artesanos Metepec II - Grupo Sherwood prediction 2 October 2026
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Our Artesanos Metepec II vs Grupo Sherwood prediction for this Liga TDP match on Oct 2 at 23:00 gives the home side a 45% win probability. Based on the latest odds and recent form, Artesanos Metepec II are slight favourites, but Grupo Sherwood have shown they can cause an upset.
Team Form
Artesanos Metepec II come into this match with three wins, one draw and one loss in their last five outings. Their most recent home game was a 3-1 victory over Ajolotes Lerma FC on Sep 18. Earlier results include a 3-2 win against Fuerza Mazahua FC and a 1-0 away success at Hermanos Benitez. The only blemishes were a 0-0 draw with Deportivo Metepec and a 0-1 defeat to Around Soccer.
Grupo Sherwood have also posted three wins, one draw and one loss across their last five matches. They edged Marlines FC 3-2 at home on Sep 26, drew 2-2 at Astilleros, and thrashed Dragones Toluca II 4-2 on the road. A 1-2 loss at Ajolotes Lerma FC and a 1-0 win at this very stadium against Artesanos Metepec II in February complete the picture.
Head-to-Head Record
These two sides have met twice before, with one win apiece. The most recent clash was on Feb 6, 2026, when Grupo Sherwood won 1-0 away at Artesanos Metepec II. The earlier encounter on Feb 24, 2024, saw Artesanos Metepec II triumph 2-1 at Grupo Sherwood. There have been no draws in this fixture.
Win Probability: Artesanos Metepec II or Grupo Sherwood?
After normalising the bookmaker odds to remove the margin, we calculate the following win probabilities: Artesanos Metepec II have a 45% chance of winning, a draw is rated at 25%, and Grupo Sherwood have a 30% chance. The home sideโs strong recent form at their own ground (three wins in the last four home matches) supports their favourite status, but the head-to-head record and Grupo Sherwoodโs away win here in February keep the contest open. Overall, the numbers point to a narrow edge for the hosts.
Odds & Match Prediction
The pre-match odds are: home win 2.00, draw 3.50, away win 3.00. Bookmakers see Artesanos Metepec II as the favourite, but the odds imply a competitive match. Based on the stats, a home win is the most likely outcome, yet the value may lie with the draw or an away upset given the recent H2H result. Our final Artesanos Metepec II vs Grupo Sherwood prediction is a tight contest, with the hosts just about deserving the nod.
Artesanos Metepec II vs Grupo Sherwood โ FAQ
- Who will win Artesanos Metepec II vs Grupo Sherwood?
- Artesanos Metepec II have a 45% chance of winning, while Grupo Sherwood hold a 30% chance and the draw is at 25%. The home side are slight favourites based on odds and recent form, but the match is expected to be close.
- What is the win probability for Artesanos Metepec II?
- Artesanos Metepec II have a 45% win probability. This is derived from the betting odds (2.00 for a home win) and adjusted for the teamโs solid home form of three wins in their last four matches at this venue.
- When is the Artesanos Metepec II vs Grupo Sherwood match?
- The match is scheduled for Oct 2, 2026, at 23:00 local time. It will be played in the Liga TDP, Mexico.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The pre-match 1X2 odds are: Artesanos Metepec II win at 2.00, a draw at 3.50, and a Grupo Sherwood win at 3.00. These odds imply a probability distribution of roughly 45% home win, 25% draw, and 30% away win after removing the bookmaker margin.