Gubbio - Perugia prediction 3 October 2026
Gubbio
Perugia
ASD Pineto CalcioGubbioGubbioAtalanta U23SpeziaGubbioGubbioPerugiaRavennaGubbioGubbioOstia Mare LidocalcioPescaraGubbioGubbioLatinaCampobassoGubbioGubbioVis PesaroGubbioReggianaGuidonia Montecelio 1937 FCGubbioASD Pineto CalcioGubbioGubbioSporting TrestinaFiorentinaGubbioPerugiaPescaraCampobassoPerugiaPerugiaVadoGubbioPerugiaPerugiaReggianaGrossetoPerugiaPerugiaSpeziaRavennaPerugiaPerugiaASD Pineto CalcioVis PesaroPerugiaPerugiaOstia Mare LidocalcioPerugiaVis PesaroPerugiaGrossetoForliPerugiaPerugiaCampobassoGubbioPerugiaPerugiaGubbioGubbioPerugiaGubbioPerugiaGubbioPerugiaPerugiaGubbioPerugiaGubbioPerugiaGubbio| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cittadella | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 18:6 | +12 | 27 |
| 2 |  Trento Calcio 1921 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 17:6 | +11 | 23 |
| 3 |  Union Brescia | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | +10 | 22 |
| 4 |  Arzignano Valchiampo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16:11 | +5 | 20 |
| 5 |  Treviso | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | +4 | 19 |
| 6 |  ACD Ospitaletto | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:11 | +7 | 18 |
| 7 |  US Pergolettese | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 10:9 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 |  Alcione | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 18:17 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Lecco | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:11 | +3 | 14 |
| 10 |  Albinoleffe | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16:15 | +1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Desenzano Calvina | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 |  Lumezzane | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 |  Carpi | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 |  Pro Vercelli | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:19 | -9 | 12 |
| 15 |  Giana Erminio | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 |  Novara | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 |  Dolomiti Bellunesi | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 10 |
| 18 |  Juventus U23 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 10 |
| 19 |  Folgore Caratese | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 7 |
| 20 |  Renate | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 5 |
Gubbio vs Perugia Prediction (Oct 3)
Our Gubbio vs Perugia prediction for the Serie C match on October 3, 2026, at 13:30, points to a closely contested encounter. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Gubbio holds a slight edge with a 35% win probability, while the draw is also at 35% and Perugia at 30%.
Team Form
Gubbio's last five matches show a mixed run: L, L, D, W, W. They suffered defeats against Ravenna (2-0) and Ostia Mare Lidocalcio (0-2), drew with Pescara (1-1), then beat Latina (3-1) and Campobasso (4-2). At home, they have one win and one loss in their last two outings.
Perugia's recent form reads W, L, L, L, W. They won against Reggiana (1-0) and ASD Pineto Calcio (2-1), but lost heavily to Grosseto (2-0), Spezia (0-3), and Ravenna (3-0). Notably, both away matches in this sequence ended in defeats without scoring.
Head-to-Head Record
The overall head-to-head record between Gubbio and Perugia stands at 2 Gubbio wins, 2 draws, and 3 Perugia wins. The most recent meeting on January 18, 2026, saw Gubbio win 1-0 away at Perugia. At Gubbio's home ground, the last three encounters produced one win each and one draw, underlining the balance in this fixture.
League Table Positions
Neither Gubbio nor Perugia feature in the top 12 of the Serie C standings provided, indicating both sides are positioned in the lower half of the table. Exact positions are not available, but the data suggests a competitive match between two teams with similar league standing.
Win Probability: Gubbio or Perugia?
Based on the odds, form, and head-to-head stats, we calculate the following win probabilities: Gubbio 35%, Draw 35%, Perugia 30%. The bookmakers' odds initially implied a strong draw chance (around 45%), but Perugia's poor away form (two consecutive away losses without scoring) and Gubbio's home advantage adjust the balance. Gubbio therefore has a marginal edge, though the match remains very open.
Odds & Match Prediction
The available pre-match odds show a home win at 3.50, a draw at 2.00, and an away win at 3.10. Bookmakers clearly see the draw as the most likely outcome. Taking into account the recent performances and H2H record, a draw is a strong possibility, but Gubbio could capitalise on home soil. Our match prediction: Gubbio double chance (win or draw).
Gubbio vs Perugia โ FAQ
- Who will win Gubbio vs Perugia?
- Gubbio has a 35% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Perugia has a 30% chance. It is a very close match, but Gubbio holds a slight advantage due to home field and Perugia's recent away struggles.
- What is the win probability for Gubbio?
- Gubbio's win probability is 35%. This is based on adjusted odds, their mixed home form, and Perugia's two heavy away defeats in their last two road games.
- When is the Gubbio vs Perugia match?
- The match takes place on October 3, 2026, at 13:30 local time. It is a Serie C fixture in Italy.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The pre-match odds are: Gubbio win 3.50, draw 2.00, Perugia win 3.10. These odds indicate the draw is the most favoured outcome by bookmakers.