Guiseley - Cleethorpes Town prediction 20 October 2026

The Guiseley vs Cleethorpes Town prediction for the Northern Premier League clash on October 20, 2026, at 19:45 points to a tight contest between two high-flying sides. Based on our win probability analysis, Cleethorpes Town holds a slight edge with a 41% chance to win, while Guiseley has a 32% chance, and the draw sits at 27%.

Team Form

Guiseley enters this match in strong form, winning four of their last five outings. Their recent run includes a 3-0 away win at Leiston in the FA Cup, a 1-0 win at Avro, and a 2-0 victory at Ilkeston Town, with the only blemish being a 0-0 draw against these very opponents, Cleethorpes Town, on October 13. Across their last five matches, Guiseley scored 7 goals and conceded none in four of those games.

Cleethorpes Town is also enjoying an excellent spell, unbeaten in their last five with three wins and two draws. They followed up the 0-0 draw at Guiseley with a commanding 3-0 home win over Warrington Rylands and a 1-0 win against Hyde. Their sole away result in this sequence was a 1-1 draw at Workington. Cleethorpes Town netted 10 goals in these five matches while keeping three clean sheets.

Head-to-Head Record

The history between these two sides heavily favors Guiseley, with 5 home wins to Cleethorpes Town's single away victory, alongside 7 draws from 13 meetings. The most recent encounter, just a week ago on October 13, ended in a 0-0 stalemate at Guiseley's ground. In their last five H2H clashes, Cleethorpes Town managed one win (2-1 in March 2026), while Guiseley won once (2-1 in an FA Cup tie back in 2018), with the other three ending all square.

League Table Positions

Cleethorpes Town sits 2nd in the Northern Premier League standings with 30 points from 13 matches, winning 9 and losing just once. Guiseley is close behind in 3rd place with 25 points from 12 games (8 wins, 1 draw, 3 defeats). The away side's defensive record stands out: only 7 goals conceded all season. Guiseley has scored 25 and conceded 11. At home, Cleethorpes Town is 2nd with 16 points from 7 games, while Guiseley's away form is stellar — ranked 2nd in the league on the road with 16 points from 7 trips (5 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) and only 4 goals conceded.

Win Probability: Guiseley or Cleethorpes Town?

Using the available odds as a base and adjusting for recent form, head-to-head trends, and league positions, we calculate the match outcome probabilities as follows: Guiseley win 32%, draw 27%, Cleethorpes Town win 41%. The odds suggest a narrow favorite, but Cleethorpes Town's superior defensive record (only 7 goals conceded in 13 games) and their unbeaten away league form (4 wins, 2 draws) tilt the balance in their favor. Guiseley's home H2H dominance and current winning streak keep them dangerous, yet the most recent 0-0 draw indicates how evenly matched they are. Cleethorpes Town has a higher probability of taking all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced this match tightly, with average odds around 2.49 for a Guiseley home win, 2.22 for the draw, and 3.36 for an away Cleethorpes Town victory. The low draw odds reflect the high frequency of stalemates in this fixture (7 in 13 meetings). Our prediction based on the stats: Cleethorpes Town is the value pick on the double chance, but a low-scoring draw cannot be ruled out given both teams' defensive strength and the recent 0-0 result.