Gumi Sportstoto Sejong Women - Changnyeong Women prediction 21 August 2026

Gumi Sportstoto Sejong Women vs Changnyeong Women prediction for this K-League Women match on August 21, 2026, at 10:00 UTC. Based on the head-to-head record, recent form, and bookmaker odds, Gumi Sportstoto Sejong Women has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Changnyeong Women at 20%.

Team Form

Gumi Sportstoto Sejong Women come into this match with mixed but slightly positive results in their last five games: a 0-0 draw against Hwacheon KSPO Women (Aug 15), a 1-0 away win over Incheon Hyundai Steel Red Angels Women (Aug 7), a 1-4 loss to Suwon Women (Jul 31), a 3-0 win against Seoul City Women (Jul 24), and a 0-0 draw with Gyeongju Women (Jul 18). That’s two wins, two draws, and one defeat, showing a solid defensive record in three of those matches.

Changnyeong Women’s recent form is less convincing: a 1-1 home draw with Incheon (Aug 15), a 0-0 draw at Suwon (Aug 7), a 1-3 loss at Seoul City (Aug 1), a heavy 1-6 defeat at Gyeongju (Jul 24), and a 1-0 away win over Busan-Boeun Sangmu Women (Jul 18). With only one win in five, they have struggled defensively and in attack against stronger opponents.

Head-to-Head Record

Over 16 meetings in this fixture, Gumi Sportstoto Sejong Women have dominated with 11 wins, 3 draws, and only 2 losses. The most recent clashes have been one-sided: a 0-0 draw at Changnyeong on Jun 27, 2026; a 3-1 home win for Gumi on May 9, 2026; a 1-1 home draw on Sep 8, 2025; a 1-0 away win for Gumi on Jun 12, 2025; and a 2-0 home win on May 1, 2025. Gumi remain unbeaten in the last five H2H encounters (3 wins, 2 draws).

Win Probability: Gumi Sportstoto Sejong Women or Changnyeong Women?

Gumi Sportstoto Sejong Women has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Changnyeong Women has a 20% chance. These probabilities are derived from the bookmaker odds (average implied home win ~43%, draw ~37%, away win ~20%), then adjusted upward for the home team because of their dominant H2H record (11-2-3), superior recent form, and the home advantage. Changnyeong’s weak away performances and defensive issues make a shock result unlikely.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a fairly tight contest. Representative odds from various bookmakers show Gumi Sportstoto Sejong Women at around 2.20, the draw at 2.15, and Changnyeong Women at 4.65. One bookmaker is more bullish on the home side, pricing them at 1.65. The odds imply a clear favorite, but the draw is also considered a real possibility. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a Gumi Sportstoto Sejong Women victory, with a low-scoring match not ruled out (total goals under 2.5 could be a smart betting tip).