Kolkheti Khobi - Guria Lanchkhuti prediction 23 October 2026

The Kolkheti Khobi vs Guria Lanchkhuti prediction for this 3 Liga match on Oct 23 at 12:00 sees the away side as a heavy favorite. Based on the league table and head-to-head data, Guria Lanchkhuti has a significantly higher chance of winning, while Kolkheti Khobi will rely on home advantage to cause an upset.

Team Form

Kolkheti Khobi enter this clash in poor shape. Their last five results read D, L, L, D, L. In their most recent outing on Oct 16, they drew 2-2 at home against FC Margveti 2006. Before that, they suffered a 1-2 home loss to Betlemi, a 4-1 defeat at Merani Tbilisi, a 1-1 home draw with Didube 2014, and a 1-0 loss at FC Irao Tbilisi. They have not won any of these five matches.

Guria Lanchkhuti arrive in fantastic form. Their last five results are D, W, W, W, W. Their latest match on Oct 16 was a 0-0 draw at home to Varketili Tbilisi. Prior to that, they recorded four consecutive wins: a 4-0 victory at FC Margveti 2006, a 2-0 home win over Dinamo Tbilisi II, a 5-0 demolition at Gardabani, and a 2-0 home success against Gonio. The team has scored 13 goals in these five games and conceded none in four of them.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record of these two teams is limited. They have met once, on May 7, a match that saw Guria Lanchkhuti thrash Kolkheti Khobi 5-0 at home. Guria Lanchkhuti has one win, Kolkheti Khobi has zero, and there have been no draws.

League Table Positions

The gap in the 3 Liga standings is massive. Guria Lanchkhuti sit 1st with 55 points from 24 matches (17 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses). Kolkheti Khobi are down in 12th with only 25 points from 24 matches (7 wins, 4 draws, 13 losses). The 30-point difference highlights the gulf in class this season. Guria's away record is the best in the league with 28 points from 12 games (9 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), while Kolkheti's home form has yielded just enough points to keep them in the lower mid-table.

Win Probability: Kolkheti Khobi or Guria Lanchkhuti?

Analyzing the available data, Guria Lanchkhuti has a 70% chance of winning, the draw is at 20%, and Kolkheti Khobi has a 10% chance. This calculation is rooted in the league positions, recent form, and H2H record. Guria's dominant away form (9 wins in 12 away games) and the 5-0 victory in the only previous meeting provide strong evidence. Kolkheti's recent winless run of five games further reduces their probability. While no odds are provided to reverse-engineer implied probability, the performance gap supports a skewed distribution heavily favoring the visitors.

Odds & Match Prediction

As no bookmaker odds are available in the data, we base the match prediction solely on team form, head-to-head stats, and league standings. Based on the stats, Guria Lanchkhuti are clear favorites to secure an away victory. Kolkheti Khobi's leaky defense and Guria's potent attack suggest an away win is the most likely match outcome. A home upset seems highly unlikely given the contrasting trajectories of the two sides.