Paksi SE - Gyori ETO prediction 17 October 2026

The Paksi SE vs Gyori ETO prediction for October 17, 2026, in the Hungarian NB I sees the home side as narrow favorites with a 40% win probability according to our analysis. The match kicks off at 16:00 local time, and with both teams in solid form, it promises to be a closely fought contest.

Team Form

Paksi SE’s recent form (last 5 matches): W‑W‑W‑L‑D. They thrashed MTK Budapest 3‑0 at home on October 10, then beat Kisvarda 1‑0 away and Kazincbarcikai 2‑1 in the Cup. However, a 2‑4 home loss to Debreceni VSC and a 1‑1 draw at Nyiregyhaza showed some defensive cracks.

Gyori ETO also come into this match with a W‑W‑W‑L‑D run. They defeated MTK Budapest 2‑1 away, put five past Karcag (5‑1) in the Cup, and edged Budapest Honved 3‑2 at home. Their only recent defeats were a 0‑3 home loss to Ferencvarosi TC and a 1‑1 away draw at Kisvarda.

Head-to-Head Record

The last five meetings between these sides point to a clear head‑to‑head advantage for Gyori ETO. The record shows 0 home wins, 3 draws, and 2 away wins for the visitors. The most recent clash, on February 22, 2026, ended in a 4‑3 away victory for Gyori ETO. All three draws came in matches with goals, including a 3‑3 result at the same venue in July 2025. Paksi SE have not beaten Gyori ETO in this fixture since the start of 2025.

League Table Positions

In the NB I overall standings, Gyori ETO sit 2nd with 15 points from 8 matches, while Paksi SE are 5th with 14 points from 9 games. At home, Paksi SE are a strong outfit – they rank 2nd in the home table with 10 points from 5 home fixtures (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Gyori ETO’s away form is unbeaten: 4 games played, 1 win and 3 draws, placing them 5th in the away standings with 6 points. This balanced away record makes them difficult to beat on the road.

Win Probability: Paksi SE or Gyori ETO?

After normalising the latest odds (1.92 home, 2.62 draw, 3.10 away) and adjusting for form, head‑to‑head history, and league table position, we calculate the following outcome probabilities:

• Paksi SE win: 40%
• Draw: 33%
• Gyori ETO win: 27%

The home side’s advantage is partially offset by Gyori ETO’s recent dominance in this fixture and their unbeaten away record. The frequency of stalemates in past encounters (three draws in five games) pushes the draw probability higher than the raw odds suggest.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds for the 1X2 market are 1.92 for a Paksi SE victory, 2.62 for the draw, and 3.10 for a Gyori ETO win. The odds indicate the hosts are marginal favourites, but the high draw price (2.62) reflects the competitive nature of the matchup.

Based on the stats, the match prediction leans towards a tight affair. Given Gyori ETO’s head‑to‑head record and unbeaten away status, the draw appears a strong possibility. Our betting tip is to consider the Double Chance X2 or back a draw in this Paksi SE vs Gyori ETO prediction.