Hafnarfjordur U19 - Keflavik U19 prediction 1 October 2026

The Hafnarfjordur U19 vs Keflavik U19 prediction for this League U19 fixture on Oct 1 at 21:00 points towards a closely contested match. Based on the available data, Hafnarfjordur U19 enters as a slight favorite with a 38% win probability, while Keflavik U19 holds a 36% chance and the draw is at 26%.

Team Form

Hafnarfjordur U19's recent form shows a pattern of three wins and two losses in their last five matches (W, W, L, W, L). Their most recent outing was a 0-2 home defeat against Breidablik/Augn/Smari U19 on Sep 16. Prior to that, they secured an impressive 5-2 away victory at Stjarnan / KFG / Aulftanes 2 U19 on Sep 8 and a 2-0 win at Vikingur Reykjavik U19 on Aug 26.

Keflavik U19 also displays a similar record of three wins and two losses in their last five (W, W, L, W, L). They are coming off a narrow 2-3 away loss to Stjarnan / KFG / Aulftanes 2 U19 on Aug 11. Before that, they recorded a dominant 9-1 home win against Thor/KA Akureyri U19 on Jul 19 and a 4-1 away victory at UMF Njardvik U19 on Jun 11.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is perfectly balanced, with 2 wins for Hafnarfjordur U19 and 2 wins for Keflavik U19, and no draws. The most recent meeting saw Keflavik U19 secure a dominant 4-0 home victory on Mar 15, 2025. However, Hafnarfjordur U19 won the previous encounter 3-0 away on May 30, 2023. Historically, the home side has often had the upper hand, with Hafnarfjordur U19 winning 2-0 at home on Aug 8, 2019.

League Table Positions

Specific league table positions and points are not available in the current data set. However, both teams compete in the Icelandic League U19, and their recent form suggests they are closely matched in the standings.

Win Probability: Hafnarfjordur U19 or Keflavik U19?

After analyzing the odds, recent form, and head-to-head record, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Hafnarfjordur U19 has a 38% chance of winning, the draw is at 26%, and Keflavik U19 has a 36% chance. These percentages are derived from the inverse of the bookmaker odds (2.50, 3.00, 2.62), normalized to remove the margin, and slightly adjusted to reflect the balanced H2H record and identical recent form. The match is too close to call a clear favorite, but Hafnarfjordur U19 gets a marginal edge for playing at home.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have set the odds for this match with Hafnarfjordur U19 at 2.50, the draw at 3.00, and Keflavik U19 at 2.62. These odds confirm the expectation of a tight contest with no strong favorite. Based on the stats and the calculated probabilities, the most likely outcome is a narrow win for Hafnarfjordur U19, but a draw is a very realistic possibility given the evenly matched squads.