Haiti Women - Japan Women prediction 9 October 2026

Haiti Women vs Japan Women prediction for the Friendly International Women match on Oct 9, 2026, at 19:00. Japan Women are the clear favorites with a 63% win probability, while Haiti Women have a 12% chance of causing an upset. The draw is rated at 25%, reflecting the possibility of a tight contest.

Team Form

Haiti Women are in outstanding form, winning four and drawing one of their last five matches across all competitions. Their recent results:

• Jun 8: Haiti Women 3-1 Equatorial Guinea Women (Friendly International Women) - W
• Jun 5: New Zealand Women 1-2 Haiti Women (Friendly International Women) - W
• Apr 18: Haiti Women 1-1 Dominican Republic Women (Championship Women) - D
• Apr 10: Haiti Women 5-0 Anguilla Women (Championship Women) - W
• Mar 3: Suriname Women 0-2 Haiti Women (Championship Women) - W

Haiti have scored 13 goals and conceded only 3 in this run, showing both attacking prowess and defensive solidity.

Japan Women have had a mixed run of results, with two wins and three losses in their last five outings, all in Friendly International Women:

• Jun 9: Japan Women 0-1 South Africa Women (Friendly International Women) - L
• Jun 6: Japan Women 5-0 South Africa Women (Friendly International Women) - W
• Apr 18: USA Women 3-0 Japan Women (Friendly International Women) - L
• Apr 15: USA Women 0-1 Japan Women (Friendly International Women) - W
• Apr 11: USA Women 2-1 Japan Women (Friendly International Women) - L

The inconsistency is partly due to the quality of opposition, but Japan have struggled for clean sheets, conceding in four of those five games.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head record between Haiti Women and Japan Women. This Friendly International Women fixture marks the first-ever meeting between the two nations.

Win Probability: Haiti Women vs Japan Women Prediction

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Haiti Women – 12%, Draw – 25%, Japan Women – 63%. These figures are derived from the bookmaker odds (inverse of the odds, normalized to remove the margin) and then adjusted to account for Haiti's excellent recent form and home advantage. While the odds imply an even higher chance for Japan, Haiti's five-match unbeaten run and home factor slightly increase their likelihood of a positive result. Nevertheless, Japan Women remain the most probable winners.

Odds & Match Prediction

The odds across multiple bookmakers show a wide range. A Japan Women victory is priced between 1.07 and 1.33, reflecting their status as heavy favorites. The draw can be backed at odds from 3.45 to 7.50, and a Haiti Women win is available at 10.50 to 21.00. The best odds for a Japan win (1.07) imply a probability of over 90%, but the market consensus is slightly lower. Our prediction: Japan Women to win. However, Haiti Women's strong form and goal-scoring ability suggest they could keep the match closer than the odds suggest, and a draw is a plausible outcome.