Hajduk Split II - Val Kastel Stari prediction 16 September 2026

Hajduk Split II vs Val Kastel Stari prediction for the Treca HNL fixture on Sep 16, 2026 at 14:30. The home side are strong favorites according to the latest odds, and our analysis gives Hajduk Split II a 55% win probability. This preview covers team form, head-to-head stats, league standings, win probability, and the best betting tips for the match.

Team Form

Hajduk Split II's recent form line reads W, W, D, L, W. Their most recent outing was a convincing 4-1 home victory over Konavljanin on Aug 29, 2026. Over the last five matches, they have scored 16 goals and conceded 7, showing strong attacking output. The only defeat in this sequence was a 1-2 home loss to Dugopolje in May 2021. It should be noted that four of these five results are from 2021, so the data is not fully up-to-date, but the Aug 29 win suggests the team is in good shape at home.

Val Kastel Stari's last five matches show L, L, W, W, W. The two defeats were both away from home: a 5-2 loss at NK HV Posedarje on Apr 11, 2026, and a 2-1 loss at Kamen Ivanbegovina on Mar 29, 2026. Their three wins all came at home, including a 2-1 win over NK Vodice, 2-1 over Neretvanac Opuzen, and 3-1 over Zagora. Overall, they scored 10 and conceded 10 in these five games, but the away form is a clear weakness, with seven goals conceded in those two road trips.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head history between Hajduk Split II and Val Kastel Stari. This will be the first competitive meeting between the two sides, so past results cannot be used to predict the outcome.

League Table Positions

The available Treca HNL standings do not include either Hajduk Split II or Val Kastel Stari in the top 12. Their exact league positions and points are therefore unknown. Without table data, the prediction relies more heavily on recent form and betting odds.

Win Probability: Hajduk Split II or Val Kastel Stari?

Based on the odds and team performances, Hajduk Split II has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Val Kastel Stari has a 20% chance. The calculation starts from the 1X2 odds (home 1.83, draw 2.60, away 5.50). The inverse of these odds gives implied probabilities of 54.6%, 38.5%, and 18.2%, which sum to 111.3% due to the bookmaker margin. After normalizing, the fair probabilities are 49% home win, 35% draw, and 16% away win. Adjusting for Hajduk Split II's home advantage, their stronger recent form, and Val Kastel Stari's poor away results, the home win probability rises to 55%, while the draw drops to 25% and the away win to 20%. Hajduk Split II are the clear favorites to win this match.

Hajduk Split II vs Val Kastel Stari Prediction & Odds

The best available odds for this match show Hajduk Split II at 1.83 to win, a draw at 2.60, and Val Kastel Stari at 5.50. Another bookmaker offers 1.77 for the home win, 2.65 for the draw, and 5.50 for the away win. These odds reflect the market's strong belief in a home victory. Considering the form gap and home field, the prediction is a Hajduk Split II win. The 1.83 odds for a home win represent decent value given the 55% win probability. However, with no head-to-head data and some dated form figures, a cautious betting approach is recommended.