Istra 1961 - Hajduk Split prediction 26 October 2026
Istra 1961
Hajduk Split
Lokomotiva ZagrebIstra 1961OsijekIstra 1961Istra 1961HNK GoricaIstra 1961RudesZagorec KrapinaIstra 1961NK VarazdinIstra 1961Istra 1961Dinamo ZagrebRijekaIstra 1961Istra 1961NK Slaven BelupoHajduk SplitIstra 1961Istra 1961Lokomotiva ZagrebLecceIstra 1961Istra 1961Orijent RijekaIstra 1961Milton Keynes DonsNK VarazdinIstra 1961ThunHajduk SplitHajduk SplitNK VarazdinHajduk SplitAjaxHajduk SplitDinamo ZagrebRijekaHajduk SplitHajduk SplitNK Slaven BelupoVardaracHajduk SplitRudesHajduk SplitHajduk SplitLokomotiva ZagrebRakow CzestochowaHajduk SplitHajduk SplitOsijekHajduk SplitRakow CzestochowaHNK GoricaHajduk SplitHajduk SplitZalgiris VilniusHajduk SplitIstra 1961- 1F. KoliฤG
- 7V. RoziฤM
- 94H. JaganjacF
- 3M. NasraouiD
- 44R. HrvatinD
- 22E. FrederiksenM
- 9IsaacF
- 25G. AlbarracรยญnM
- 13Niko ล epiฤD
- 4R. KumarD
- 5D. HodzicM
- 11S. Goriฤan
- 40J. Paus-Kunลกt
- 20D. Ahmeti
- 27D. Celija
- 23S. Ukich
- 30N. Skafar Zuzic
- 66M. Momoh
- 34M. Kablar
- 39T. Brajkovic
- 97A. Kaduลกiฤ
- 7A. SanyangM
- 11M. ล egoF
- 9DaliM
- 20Alberto del MoralM
- 33T. SiliฤG
- 8K. FayadM
- 32ล . HrgoviฤD
- 23M. ล otiฤekM
- 22M. AcapandiรฉD
- 6D. HadลพikaduniฤD
- 15D. MareลกiฤD
- 44D. Stipica
- 19E. Brruti
- 18L. Dendoncker
- 77Carlos Martรญn
- 99D. Fesyuk
- 17D. Melnjak
- 14R. Raci
- 16A. Sutalo
- 10M. Livaja
- 3Roko Gabriฤ
- 26A. Guram
- 5A. Van Hoorenbeeck
Hajduk SplitIstra 1961Istra 1961Hajduk SplitHajduk SplitIstra 1961Istra 1961Hajduk SplitHajduk SplitIstra 1961Hajduk SplitIstra 1961Istra 1961Hajduk SplitHajduk SplitIstra 1961| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hajduk Split | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21:11 | +10 | 23 |
| 2 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23:12 | +11 | 19 |
| 3 |  NK Varazdin | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 |  Rijeka | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 17 |
| 5 |  Osijek | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:16 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:18 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 |  NK Slaven Belupo | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 13 |
| 8 |  Lokomotiva Zagreb | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 11 |
| 9 |  Rudes | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
| 10 |  HNK Gorica | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7:15 | -8 | 7 |
Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split Prediction (Oct 26)
Our Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split prediction for this HNL match on Oct 26 at 17:00 is clear: Hajduk Split enters as the favorite to win. Based on the available odds and form, Hajduk Split holds a roughly 45% win probability, while a home victory for Istra 1961 sits at about 25% and the draw at 30%.
Team Form
Istra 1961's recent form shows inconsistency with results of L, W, L, W, W in their last five outings. In their latest home game on Sep 19, they lost 0-1 to HNK Gorica, but previously beat Rudes 3-2 on Sep 13. Hajduk Split has been in excellent form, with results of W, W, W, W, L. They are coming off a 1-0 away win at Thun in the UEFA Conference League on Oct 22 and also defeated NK Varazdin 1-0 on Oct 18.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head between these sides is closely contested. In the last 5 encounters, Hajduk Split has 3 wins, Istra 1961 has 2, and there are 0 draws. The most recent match, on Aug 9, 2026, ended in a 2-2 draw. On Apr 7, 2026, Hajduk Split won 3-1 away, and on Jan 25, 2026, Istra 1961 won 2-1 at Hajduk Split. The overall H2H record across all listed matches shows 3 away wins for Hajduk Split, 2 home wins for Istra 1961, and 3 draws.
League Table Positions
Hajduk Split sits 1st in the HNL overall table with 22 points from 10 matches (7 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Istra 1961 is 7th with 12 points (3 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses). Away from home, Hajduk Split has 6 points from 4 games, while Istra 1961's home record shows 7 points from 5 matches.
Win Probability: Istra 1961 or Hajduk Split?
Calculating the win probability based on odds, form, and H2H records gives Hajduk Split a 45% chance to win, Istra 1961 a 25% chance, and the draw a 30% chance. The base was derived from the inverse of the best available odds (2.15 for Hajduk Split, 3.90 for Istra 1961, 2.30 for the draw), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin. We then adjusted for Hajduk Split's stronger recent form and their top-of-the-table position, although Istra 1961's home advantage and recent competitive H2H results lift their and the draw's probabilities slightly.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers offer varied odds for this match. The best available price for a Hajduk Split away win is around 2.15, with a home win for Istra 1961 at 3.90, and the draw at 2.30. These odds clearly show the market sees Hajduk Split as the favorite. Our final Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split prediction: based on the stats, Hajduk Split is the most likely winner, but the draw is a live possibility given the competitive nature of recent H2H meetings.
Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split โ FAQ
- Who will win Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split?
- Hajduk Split is the predicted winner with a 45% probability. Istra 1961 has a 25% chance, and the draw stands at 30%, based on odds, recent form, and league standings.
- What is the win probability for Hajduk Split?
- Hajduk Split has a 45% chance to win away at Istra 1961. This probability is calculated from bookmaker odds, their top position in the HNL table with 22 points, and a strong recent form showing four wins in five games.
- When is the Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split match?
- The match is scheduled for Oct 26, 2026, at 17:00 local time. It will be played at Stadion Aldo Drosina in Pula, as part of the Croatian HNL competition.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The best available odds for this HNL fixture are approximately 3.90 for an Istra 1961 home win, 2.30 for a draw, and 2.15 for a Hajduk Split away victory, indicating Hajduk is the favorite.