Rijeka - Hajduk Split prediction 20 September 2026
Rijeka
Hajduk Split
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hajduk Split | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21:11 | +10 | 23 |
| 2 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23:12 | +11 | 19 |
| 3 |  NK Varazdin | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 | Rijeka | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 17 |
| 5 |  Osijek | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:16 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 |  Istra 1961 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:18 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 |  NK Slaven Belupo | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 13 |
| 8 |  Lokomotiva Zagreb | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 11 |
| 9 |  Rudes | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
| 10 |  HNK Gorica | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7:15 | -8 | 7 |
Rijeka vs Hajduk Split Prediction (Sep 20)
The Rijeka vs Hajduk Split prediction for the HNL match on September 20, 2026, at Stadion Rujevica points to a tight contest. Based on the latest odds and team form, Rijeka are the favorites with a 42% win probability, while Hajduk Split have a 25% chance of taking all three points.
Team Form
Rijekaโs last five matches show inconsistency: two wins, two draws, and one defeat (D, W, D, L, W). The loss came at home against Midtjylland in UEFA Conference League qualification, but they bounced back with a 3-2 win over Istra 1961. In the league, they remain unbeaten at home this season.
Hajduk Split arrive in excellent form, with four wins and one draw in their last five (W, W, W, D, W). They have scored 12 goals in those five games and kept three clean sheets, including a 4-0 away win at Rudes. Their only slip was a 2-2 draw at Rakow Czestochowa in Europe.
Head-to-Head Record
The last five meetings between these sides produced two Rijeka wins, one Hajduk Split win, and two draws. At Stadion Rujevica, Rijeka have dominated recent H2H clashes: a 5-0 victory in November 2025, a 3-2 win in March 2026, and a 0-0 draw in April 2026. Hajdukโs only win in this span came at home (1-0 in February 2026).
League Table Positions
Hajduk Split top the HNL table with 13 points from 6 matches (4 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Rijeka sit 5th with 10 points from 5 games (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) and have a game in hand. At home, Rijeka are perfect: 3 wins from 3, scoring 9 goals. Hajdukโs away record is also strong โ 2 wins and 1 loss from 3 trips, with 7 goals scored.
Win Probability: Rijeka or Hajduk Split?
After removing the bookmaker margin from the 1X2 odds and adjusting for form and H2H, the win probabilities are: Rijeka 42%, draw 33%, Hajduk Split 25%. Rijekaโs flawless home league record and recent H2H dominance at this stadium give them a clear edge. Hajdukโs overall form is better, but they have struggled on this ground. The draw probability remains significant, reflecting the competitive nature of this fixture.
Odds & Match Prediction
The best available odds are: Rijeka win at 2.05, draw at 2.18, and Hajduk Split win at 3.55. Bookmakers see Rijeka as the favorite, and the stats support that view. Based on the home advantage, H2H record, and current form, the most likely outcome is a Rijeka victory, but a draw cannot be ruled out.
Rijeka vs Hajduk Split โ FAQ
- Who will win Rijeka vs Hajduk Split?
- Rijeka have a 42% chance of winning, the draw is at 33%, and Hajduk Split have a 25% chance. Rijeka are the most likely winners thanks to their perfect home league record and strong recent H2H results at Stadion Rujevica.
- What is the win probability for Rijeka?
- Rijekaโs win probability is 42%. This is based on the bookmaker odds (2.05 for a home win) adjusted for their three home league wins this season and a H2H record that includes a 5-0 and a 3-2 victory over Hajduk Split at this venue.
- When is the Rijeka vs Hajduk Split match?
- The match is on September 20, 2026, at 15:00 UTC. It is an HNL (Croatian top division) fixture played at Stadion Rujevica in Rijeka.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The 1X2 odds are: Rijeka win 2.05, draw 2.18, Hajduk Split win 3.55. These odds imply Rijeka are the favorites, with Hajduk Split considered the underdog.