The Vardarac vs Hajduk Split prediction for this Croatian Cup match on September 8, 2026, at 14:30 points to a dominant away win. Based on the available data, Hajduk Split has a 92% win probability, the draw is at 6%, and Vardarac has a 2% chance of causing a massive upset.
Vardarac comes into this match with mixed results. Their last two matches show a 2-0 away win against Bedem Ivankovo in the Treca HNL on March 1, and a 1-1 home draw against Karlovac in the Cup on August 30, 2023. This limited recent data suggests inconsistent form for the home side.
Hajduk Split is in excellent form. Their last five matches resulted in four wins and one draw. They secured a 4-0 away victory against Rudes in the HNL on September 6, a 2-0 home win against Lokomotiva Zagreb on August 31, a 2-2 away draw with Rakow Czestochowa in the UEFA Conference League Qualification on August 27, a 4-0 home win against Osijek on August 23, and another 2-2 home draw with Rakow Czestochowa on August 20. The team is scoring freely and keeping clean sheets.
There is no head-to-head record available for Vardarac and Hajduk Split. The data shows zero previous meetings, with 0 home wins, 0 draws, and 0 away wins. This will be the first competitive clash between the two sides.
No specific league table positions or points are provided in the data. However, the competition is the Croatian Cup. Hajduk Split competes in the top-flight HNL, while Vardarac plays in the lower-tier Treca HNL, indicating a significant gap in league level and squad quality.
Hajduk Split has a 92% chance of winning this match. The draw probability is 6%, and Vardarac has a 2% chance. This calculation is based primarily on the available odds, which heavily favor Hajduk Split, and is further reinforced by their strong form and the clear difference in league levels. The inverse of the odds, normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, gives Hajduk Split an overwhelming probability. Their recent high-scoring wins and Vardarac's lower-league status make an away victory the most likely outcome by a wide margin.
The bookmakers' odds reflect the one-sided nature of this fixture. The odds for a Vardarac win are 25.00, a draw is at 15.00, and an away win for Hajduk Split is at 1.03. Based on the stats, Hajduk Split is the clear favorite to win. The prediction is a comfortable victory for the away side, likely with multiple goals, given their recent scoring form.